Konsensus om klimaet. Søren Hansen

 

https://klimarealisme.dk/2021/10/30/konsensus-om-klimaet/

 

Konsensus om klimaet

For nyligt bragte vi en anmeldelse af vores norske søsterforening Klimarealistenes nye tidsskrift. Her var der bl.a. en fin artikel, skrevet af Grabert et al., om ”konsensus” i klimavidenskaben. Igen og igen hører vi, at der er enighed mellem 97 % af klimaforskerne om, at den nuværende globale opvarmning udelukkende er forårsaget af menneskehedens udledninger af drivhusgasser, og at det er et problem, der er så alvorligt, at det skal løses uden tøven (helst ved en ”grøn omstilling”).

Graberts indlæg dækker en række videnskabelige artikler om ”konsensus” frem til 2020. Den fik derfor ikke det seneste skud på stammen med, en artikel: Lynas et al., der netop er udkommet, og som hævder, at der faktisk er over 99 % konsensus.

Men hvad går alt det her ud på? Indledningen til Lynas et al. lyder som følger:

Omfanget af den videnskabelige konsensus om menneskeskabte klimaforandringer er af stor interesse for samfundet. Hvis der stadigvæk er en betydelig ægte videnskabelig tvivl om, hvorvidt moderne klimaforandringer er menneskeskabte, vil det svække opbakningen til nedbringelse af drivhusgas-udledningerne. I modsætning hertil vil en bred konsensus i den fagfællebedømte litteratur gøre alle de argumenter ugyldige, som ellers hævder, at der stadigvæk er en væsentlig debat i videnskabens verden om realiteten af menneskeskabte klimaforandringer.

I en anden artikel, som vi skal kigge lidt på her, Cook et al. fra 2013, står der tilsvarende:

Et indtryk i offentligheden af, at der er konsensus om menneskeskabt global opvarmning, er en nødvendig forudsætning for at få bred støtte til klimapolitikken.

Vi har altså at gøre med forskning, hvor der allerede fra start af klart meldes ud, hvad resultatet gerne skulle være. Formålet er ikke så meget at undersøge, hvorvidt der er konsensus, men snarere at bevise, at den er der. Det er vist ikke specielt sund videnskab, men snarere politik, der er forklædt som videnskab.

Vi starter med Cook. I udgangspunktet foretog man en søgning blandt sammendrag (abstracts) af videnskabelige artikler udgivet mellem 1991 og 2011 og samlet i en database. Man ledte efter ordene ”global opvarmning” (global warming) og ”globale klimaforandringer” (global climate change). I alt fandt man 11.944 artikler, efter frasortering af et mindre antal åbenlyst irrelevante indslag. 24 personer, der via en klimaaktivistisk hjemmeside var blevet rekrutteret til formålet, blev sat til at gennemgå alle sammendragene, således at to bedømmere uafhængigt af hinanden kiggede på hvert sammendrag. Bedømmerne skulle kategorisere artiklerne efter 2 sæt kriterier, hvoraf det ene specifikt gik på graden af enighed med konsensus. Her var der 7 kategorier at vælge i mellem:

  1. Åben erkendelse af, at menneskeheden er ansvarlig for størstedelen af opvarmningen
  2. Åben erkendelse af at vi står for noget af opvarmningen
  3. Indirekte erkendelse af at mennesker står for opvarmningen
  4. Ingen holdning, og ingen stillingtagen til årsagen til den globale opvarmning – eller at årsagen er ukendt
  5. Indirekte tilkendegivelse af at menneskeheden kun har minimal indflydelse på opvarmningen
  6. Afvisning af vores ansvar, eller udtryk for at det er ubetydeligt, dog uden at opgøre størrelsesordener
  7. Klar udtalelses om at vores ansvar er beskedent, med angivelse af størrelsesordenen

Det andet sæt kategorier opdelte artiklerne efter deres emne, var det klimavidenskab, ”grøn omstilling” eller noget andet?

De to bedømmere på hver artikel var i første omgang uenige om ca. 1/3 af alle bedømmelserne, det tal blev så nedbragt, bl.a. ved at nogle ”overdommere” greb ind.

Resultatet af øvelsen var ganske interessant: Artiklerne fordelte sig på de ovennævnte syv kategorier som vist i tabel 1:

Tabel 1: Resultaterne fra Cook et al.

Der er således 32,6 %, der er for konsensus og sammenlagt 1 %, der er imod. I alt 33,6 % har taget stilling til global opvarmning og heraf er 32,6 % for, hvilket udgør de 97 af alle dem, der har taget stilling.

Det udelader jo så de 66,4 %, hvor man i deres sammendrag ikke kunne udlede nogen mening – måske fordi den ikke var relevant for artiklen – men derfor kunne forfatterne jo sagtens have en holdning til spørgsmålet alligevel.

Dette spørgsmål blev så taget op med en spørgeskemaundersøgelse, hvor man fik svar fra forfatterne til godt 2000 artikler, dvs. 16-17% af totalen ovenfor. Blandt de forskere, der havde en mening om den globale opvarmning, var der igen 97 % der støttede konsensus. Men blandt forfatterne til artikler, hvor sammendraget ikke udtrykte nogen mening om opvarmningen, viste det sig, at kun 53 % støttede konsensus.

Derved kunne man jo lægge de 47 % (af 66,4 %) til dem, der var i mod konsensus, men det gør Cook ikke, de har bl.a. følgende (bort-)forklaring:

Man bemærker det store antal sammendrag, der ikke giver udtryk for nogen stillingtagen til menneskeskabt global opvarmning. Det er, hvad man kan forvente i en konsensus-situation, hvor videnskabsfolk generelt fokuserer deres diskussioner på spørgsmål, der stadigvæk er tvivl om eller er ubesvarede, frem for ting som alle er enige om.

Cook’s artikel slutter fornøjet med konklusionen om de 97% for konsensus – hvilket jo også er det politisk ønskede resultat.

Artiklen Grabert et al. behandler undersøgelser af konsensus mellem 2009 og 2020. Her kigges der primært på studier, der er baseret på udsendelse af spørgeskemaer til forskerne og indhentning af deres svar. Cook, omtalt ovenfor, er således ikke med her.

Det første studie omtalt i Grabert indbefattede udsendelse af spørgeskemaer til 6550 videnskabsfolk, som var blevet identificeret som havende arbejdet med klimaspørgsmål. Der blev stillet 2 spørgsmål: Dels om hvorvidt man mente, at CO2 medfører global opvarmning (det ”kvalitative” udsagn), og dels om CO2 var den dominerende årsag til temperaturstigningen (det ”kvantitative” udsagn). 29 % af de 6550 svarede. I første omgang var det 82 %, der var enige i det kvalitative udsagn og kun 66 % var enige i det kvantitative udsagn. Det var jo klart utilfredsstillende, når forfatterne var på udkig efter ”konsensus” over 90 % og helst langt over.

Man gjorde så det, at man simpelthen begyndte at frasortere nogle af dem, der havde svaret. F.eks. opdelte man videnskabsfolkene efter hvor mange artikler, de havde offentliggjort inden for klimavidenskaben. Det hjalp noget, som vist på fig. 1. Men den eneste måde, hvorpå man kunne komme over de 90 %, var ved kun at se på forfattergruppen til IPCC’s rapport nr. 4 (AR4). Her nåede man endeligt over 90 % tilslutning til konsensus, men desværre var der så også kun 165 forskere tilbage ud af de 6550. I og med at de var medforfattere til en IPCC-rapport, ville man nok forvente, at de havde stor tilslutning til konsensus, og i øvrigt at de var mere motiverede til at svare på spørgeskemaet end alle forskerne i gennemsnit. Begge dele vil selvfølgeligt drive resultatet op i retning af konsensus. Men en sølle omgang var det.

Fig. 1: Metode til at forøge opbakningen til konsensus. Blå stolper er antallet af artikler med forskellige sorteringskriterier (segmenter). Gul kurve er graden af “konsensus” i det udvalgte segment.

En anden artikel udsendte to spørgsmål til medlemmer af det amerikanske meteorologiske selskab. Spørgsmålene lød: 1. Sker der en global opvarmning? 2. Hvis ja, hvad er så hovedårsagen? Til det andet spørgsmål kunne man svare enten ”mest menneskeskabt” eller ”ligeligt naturligt og menneskeskabt”. Resultatet blev at 52 % svarede ”ja – mest menneskeskabt” og 10 % ”ja – ligeligt…”. Det var jo meget langt væk fra 97 % konsensus, mildt sagt. Løsningen blev igen at filtrere efter nogle kriterier om deltagelse i aktiv klimavidenskab, hvorved procenten af ”ja – mest menneskeskabt” kom op på 78 %, men til gengæld var der nu kun 124 personer tilbage blandt de 1821, der havde svaret. Og stadigvæk var man ikke nået de magiske 97 %.

Grabert omtaler et par tilsvarende artikler, med finurlige kombinationer af spørgsmål og lignende metoder, men ingen af dem når faktisk op over 90 % for konsensus, og deres rå tal er lavere, men bringes så op ved filtrering, som nævnt ovenfor. Slutresultatet er hver gang at ”konsensus” kun er blandt en lille del af de oprindeligt udspurgte forskere.

Et sidste bud er en artikel fra 2010, der samler oplysninger fra en database over udtalelser og skrifter, og opdeler videnskabsfolkene i ”overbeviste” eller ”ikke overbeviste” om konsensus. Igen er andelen af ”overbeviste” lav, kun 66 %. Det viser jo klart, at der ikke var konsensus, da den artikel blev skrevet.

Det bringer os så frem til Lynas et al. fra 2021. Her er vi tilbage til Cook’s metode, med database-søgninger i sammendrag. Denne gang er der brugt 3 søgeord: ”global opvarmning”, ”globale klimaforandringer” og ”klimaforandringer”. Man søgte i alle artikler siden 2012 og fik ikke færre end 88.125 hits. Ud af dem valgte man i første omgang 3000, som så blev underkastet en nærmere analyse.

Alle artikler blev kategoriseret i de 7 grupper på samme måde som i Cook. Ud af de 3000 udvalgte artikler, kunne 282 sorteres fra, som værende åbenlyst irrelevante. Resten fordelte sig på de 7 kategorier som vist på fig. 2.

Fig. 2: Resultatet fra Lynas et al., manuel gennemgang af 3000 artikler. Mørke- og mellemblå: For konsensus, Lyseblå: Neutrale, Røde: imod konsensus.

Resultatet ligner meget det fra Cook, det store flertal af artikler er neutrale. 4 artikler afviste den menneskeskabte opvarmning. 19 artikler støttede den kvantitativt, 413 støttede kvalitativt (dvs. uden angivelse af graden af menneskeligt ansvar) og 460 antydede at der var tale om den menneskeskabte indflydelse. Det gav i alt 892 artikler for og 4 i mod konsensus, svarende til at 99,5 % var for. Forfatterne pegede endda på at man også kunne vurdere de 4 imod op imod hele antallet af artikler, dvs. 2718 hvorved procentdelen for steg til 99,8 %.

Ud fra de sammendrag, der i Cook blev identificeret som imod konsensus, blev der af Lynas identificeret klimaskeptiske ord og vendinger. Det blev en liste med i alt 150 ord. Samtlige 88.125 artiklers sammendrag blev nu gennemgået af en computer, der søgte efter de skeptiske ord.

Computersøgningen resulterede i udpegning af en stribe artikler, der kunne være klimaskeptiske, og de 1000 ”værste” blev udvalgt til nærmere manuel analyse. Her fandt forskerne, at 210 artikler alligevel støttede konsensus, 762 var hverken for eller i mod og 28 imod. Hermed konkluderes, at ud af 88.125 artikler var kun 28 i mod konsensus, og dermed var langt over 99,9 % for.

Nogen ville måske indvende, at fordi man ikke åbenlyst er imod noget, er det ikke ensbetydende med at man fuldt og helt går ind for det. Hertil har Lynas følgende bemærkelsesværdige udtalelse:

Mens Cook et al. definerer konsensus ret snævert som udtalt eller indforstået enighed, kan man bruge en bredere definition, der forstår konsensus som en manglende indvending mod et fremherskende synspunkt eller forståelse.

I den verden, vi her har betrådt, er enhver, der ikke højlydt erklærer sig totalt uenig, at betragte som 100 % enig. Imidlertid er der jo masser af artikler, der betragter omfanget af CO2-udledningernes virkning på klimaet som uafklaret. Mange af dem vil således give udtryk for, at der nok er en vis effekt af CO2 på klimaet, men at vi ikke står over for en ”klimakrise” eller en katastrofal opvarmning. Alle sådanne artikler vil i ovennævnte undersøgelser blive talt med som støtte til konsensus om katastrofen. Det ville nok overraske f.eks. R. Connolly & Willie Soon, at deres store artikel om solens mulige indflydelse på den måde betragtes som enig i en rigid konsensus.

Sandheden er jo, at der er masser af diskussioner i den videnskabelige klimalitteratur og masser af forskellige meninger og synspunkter. Med ovennævnte artiklers metode fanges den slags slet ikke – men det er jo heller ikke formålet med dem, et faktum som de selv ikke lægger skjul på.

Som et kuriosum kan her til sidst nævnes Henrik Svensmarks nyligt udsendte artikel om sammenhængen mellem solens aktivitet, kosmisk stråling, skyer og jordens temperatur. Den ville slet ikke have optrådt i ovennævnte søgninger, da dens sammendrag tilfældigvis ikke indeholder nogen af de tre søgeord: ”Climate change”, ”global climate change” eller ”global warming”. Mon ikke der er mange andre artikler i samme situation?

Og så er der selvfølgeligt det faktum, at hele ideen om konsensus i videnskaben er dybt meningsløs. Videnskabelig erkendelse opnås ikke ved en demokratisk proces, men ved vekselvirkning mellem teori og praktiske målinger eller forsøg. En accepteret teori lever kun så længe, ingen har formået at rejse tvivl om den eller bevise, at den er forkert. Klimavidenskaben er ikke på nogen måde hævet over disse grundlæggende principper.

815 thoughts on “Konsensus om klimaet. Søren Hansen

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  4. Поддельные купюры: угроза для экономики и общества

    Введение:
    Мошенничество с деньгами – нарушение, оставшееся актуальным на продолжительностью многих веков. Изготовление и распространение фальшивых денег представляют серьезную опасность не только для экономической системы, но и для общественной стабильности. В данной статье мы рассмотрим масштабы проблемы, способы борьбы с фальшивомонетничеством и воздействие для общества.

    История поддельных купюр:
    Фальшивые деньги существуют с момента появления самой идеи денег. В старину подделывались металлические монеты, а в современном мире преступники активно используют передовые технологии для подделки банкнот. Развитие цифровых технологий также открыло новые возможности для создания электронных аналогов денег.

    Масштабы проблемы:
    Фальшивые деньги создают угрозу для стабильности экономики. Финансовые учреждения, компании и даже простые люди могут стать пострадавшими обмана. Рост количества фальшивых денег может привести к потере покупательной способности и даже к финансовым кризисам.

    Современные методы фальсификации:
    С развитием технологий фальсификация стала более сложной и усложненной. Преступники используют современные технические средства, специализированные принтеры, и даже искусственный интеллект для создания трудноотличимых фальшивые копии от настоящих денег.

    Борьба с фальшивомонетничеством:
    Государства и центральные банки активно внедряют современные методы для предотвращения фальшивомонетничества. Это включает в себя использование современных защитных элементов на банкнотах, обучение населения способам определения фальшивых средств, а также взаимодействие с правоохранительными органами для обнаружения и пресечения преступных сетей.

    Последствия для общества:
    Поддельные средства несут не только финансовые, но и общественные последствия. Граждане и бизнесы теряют веру к экономическому устройству, а борьба с преступностью требует больших затрат, которые могли бы быть направлены на более полезные цели.

    Заключение:
    Фальшивые деньги – серьезная проблема, требующая уделяемого внимания и коллективных действий общества, правоохранительных органов и учреждений финансов. Только с помощью активной противодействия с этим преступлением можно гарантировать устойчивость финансовой системы и сохранить уважение к валютной системе

  5. Опасность подпольных точек: Места продажи фальшивых купюр”

    Заголовок: Опасность подпольных точек: Места продажи фальшивых купюр

    Введение:
    Разговор об опасности подпольных точек, занимающихся продажей фальшивых купюр, становится всё более актуальным в современном обществе. Эти места, предоставляя доступ к поддельным финансовым средствам, представляют серьезную угрозу для экономической стабильности и безопасности граждан.

    Легкость доступа:
    Одной из негативных аспектов подпольных точек является легкость доступа к поддельным деньгам. На темных улицах или в скрытых интернет-пространствах, эти места становятся площадкой для тех, кто ищет возможность обмануть систему.

    Угроза финансовой системе:
    Продажа поддельных купюр в таких местах создает реальную угрозу для финансовой системы. Введение поддельных средств в обращение может привести к инфляции, понижению доверия к национальной валюте и даже к финансовым кризисам.

    Мошенничество и преступность:
    Подпольные точки, предлагающие поддельные средства, являются очагами мошенничества и преступной деятельности. Отсутствие контроля и законного регулирования в этих местах обеспечивает благоприятные условия для криминальных элементов.

    Угроза для бизнеса и обычных граждан:
    Как бизнесы, так и обычные граждане становятся потенциальными жертвами мошенничества, когда используют поддельные деньги, приобретенные в подпольных точках. Это ведет к утрате доверия и серьезным финансовым потерям.

    Последствия для экономики:
    Вмешательство нелегальных торговых мест в экономику оказывает отрицательное воздействие. Нарушение стабильности финансовой системы и создание дополнительных трудностей для правоохранительных органов являются лишь частью последствий для общества.

    Заключение:
    Продажа поддельных средств в подпольных точках представляет собой серьезную угрозу для общества в целом. Необходимо ужесточение законодательства и усиление контроля, чтобы противостоять этому злу и обеспечить безопасность экономической среды. Развитие сотрудничества между государственными органами, бизнес-сообществом и обществом в целом является ключевым моментом в предотвращении негативных последствий деятельности подобных точек.

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  7. Фальшивые рубли, часто, подделывают с целью обмана и незаконного обогащения. Преступники занимаются фальсификацией российских рублей, создавая поддельные банкноты различных номиналов. В основном, фальсифицируют банкноты с более высокими номиналами, такими как 1 000 и 5 000 рублей, ввиду того что это позволяет им получать большие суммы при уменьшенном числе фальшивых денег.

    Процесс подделки рублей включает в себя применение высокотехнологичного оборудования, специализированных принтеров и специально подготовленных материалов. Преступники стремятся максимально детально воспроизвести защитные элементы, водяные знаки, металлическую защитную полосу, микроскопический текст и прочие характеристики, чтобы затруднить определение поддельных купюр.

    Фальшивые рубли часто попадают в обращение через торговые площадки, банки или прочие учреждения, где они могут быть незаметно скрыты среди настоящих денег. Это создает серьезные затруднения для финансовой системы, так как поддельные купюры могут порождать потерям как для банков, так и для граждан.

    Столь же важно подчеркнуть, что имение и применение поддельных средств являются уголовными преступлениями и подпадают под наказание в соответствии с законодательством Российской Федерации. Власти энергично противостоят с такими преступлениями, предпринимая меры по выявлению и пресечению деятельности преступных групп, занимающихся фальсификацией российской валюты

  8. Фальшивые рубли, как правило, подделывают с целью обмана и незаконного обогащения. Преступники занимаются подделкой российских рублей, изготавливая поддельные банкноты различных номиналов. В основном, воспроизводят банкноты с более высокими номиналами, вроде 1 000 и 5 000 рублей, поскольку это позволяет им получать большие суммы при меньшем количестве фальшивых денег.

    Процесс подделки рублей включает в себя применение высокотехнологичного оборудования, специализированных принтеров и особо подготовленных материалов. Злоумышленники стремятся максимально точно воспроизвести защитные элементы, водяные знаки, металлическую защитную полосу, микроскопический текст и другие характеристики, чтобы замедлить определение поддельных купюр.

    Фальшивые рубли регулярно вносятся в оборот через торговые точки, банки или прочие учреждения, где они могут быть легко спрятаны среди реальных денежных средств. Это создает серьезные проблемы для финансовой системы, так как фальшивые деньги могут вызывать убыткам как для банков, так и для населения.

    Необходимо подчеркнуть, что владение и использование фальшивых денег являются уголовными преступлениями и подпадают под уголовную ответственность в соответствии с законодательством Российской Федерации. Власти энергично противостоят с подобными правонарушениями, предпринимая действия по обнаружению и прекращению деятельности банд преступников, занимающихся фальсификацией российской валюты

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  48. Осознание сущности и опасностей ассоциированных с обналом кредитных карт может помочь людям предупреждать атак и защищать свои финансовые состояния. Обнал (отмывание) кредитных карт — это механизм использования украденных или неправомерно приобретенных кредитных карт для осуществления финансовых транзакций с целью замаскировать их происхождение и заблокировать отслеживание.

    Вот несколько способов, которые могут помочь в предотвращении обнала кредитных карт:

    Охрана личной информации: Будьте осторожными в контексте предоставления личной информации, особенно онлайн. Избегайте предоставления картовых номеров, кодов безопасности и инных конфиденциальных данных на ненадежных сайтах.

    Сильные пароли: Используйте надежные и уникальные пароли для своих банковских аккаунтов и кредитных карт. Регулярно изменяйте пароли.

    Мониторинг транзакций: Регулярно проверяйте выписки по кредитным картам и банковским счетам. Это способствует своевременному выявлению подозрительных транзакций.

    Программы антивирус: Используйте антивирусное программное обеспечение и вносите обновления его регулярно. Это поможет защитить от вредоносные программы, которые могут быть использованы для кражи данных.

    Осторожное взаимодействие в социальных сетях: Будьте осторожными в сетевых платформах, избегайте опубликования чувствительной информации, которая может быть использована для взлома вашего аккаунта.

    Своевременное уведомление банка: Если вы заметили какие-либо подозрительные операции или утерю карты, сразу свяжитесь с вашим банком для блокировки карты.

    Образование: Будьте внимательными к современным приемам мошенничества и обучайтесь тому, как противостоять их.

    Избегая легковерия и принимая меры предосторожности, вы можете снизить риск стать жертвой обнала кредитных карт.

  49. Незаконные форумы, где осуществляют обнал банковских карт, представляют собой онлайн-платформы, специализирующиеся на обсуждении и проведении противозаконных транзакций с финансовыми картами. На таких платформах пользователи делают обмен информацией, методами и знаниями в области кэш-аута, что включает в себя незаконные действия по получению доступа к денежным ресурсам.

    Данные платформы способны предоставлять разные услуги, связанные с преступной деятельностью, например фальсификация, скимминг, вредоносное программное обеспечение и прочие техники для сбора данных с финансовых карт. Кроме того рассматриваются вопросы, касающиеся применением похищенных данных для осуществления финансовых операций или снятия денег.

    Участники неправомерных форумов по обналичиванию карт могут оставаться неизвестными и уходить от привлечения органов безопасности. Они могут делиться советами, предлагать услуги, относящиеся к обналом, а также проводить сделки, направленные на незаконную финансовую деятельность.

    Необходимо подчеркнуть, что участие в подобных практиках не просто представляет собой нарушением правовых норм, но и может приводить к правовым санкциям и уголовной ответственности.

  50. Обналичивание карт – это неправомерная деятельность, становящаяся все более популярной в нашем современном мире электронных платежей. Этот вид мошенничества представляет тяжелые вызовы для банков, правоохранительных органов и общества в целом. В данной статье мы рассмотрим частоту встречаемости обналичивания карт, используемые методы и возможные последствия для жертв и общества.

    Частота обналичивания карт:

    Обналичивание карт является весьма распространенным явлением, и его частота постоянно растет с увеличением числа электронных транзакций. Киберпреступники применяют различные методы для получения доступа к финансовым средствам, включая фишинг, вредоносное программное обеспечение, скимминг и другие инновационные подходы.

    Методы обналичивания карт:

    Фишинг: Злоумышленники могут отправлять поддельные электронные сообщения или создавать веб-сайты, имитирующие банковские системы, с целью получения личной информации от владельцев карт.

    Скимминг: Злоумышленники устанавливают устройства скиммеры на банкоматах или терминалах для считывания данных с магнитных полос карт.

    Вредоносное программное обеспечение: Киберпреступники разрабатывают вредоносные программы, которые заражают компьютеры и мобильные устройства, чтобы получить доступ к личным данным и банковским счетам.

    Сетевые атаки: Атаки на системы банков и платежных платформ могут привести к утечке информации о картах и, следовательно, к их обналичиванию.

    Последствия обналичивания карт:

    Финансовые потери для клиентов: Владельцы карт могут столкнуться с денежными потерями, так как средства могут быть списаны с их счетов без их ведома.

    Угроза безопасности данных: Обналичивание карт подчеркивает угрозу безопасности личных данных, что может привести к краже личной и финансовой информации.

    Ущерб репутации банков: Банки и другие финансовые учреждения могут столкнуться с утратой доверия со стороны клиентов, если их системы безопасности оказываются уязвимыми.

    Проблемы для экономики: Обналичивание карт создает экономический ущерб, поскольку оно стимулирует дополнительные затраты на борьбу с мошенничеством и восстановление утраченных средств.

    Борьба с обналичиванием карт:

    Совершенствование технологий безопасности: Банки и финансовые институты постоянно совершенствуют свои системы безопасности, чтобы предотвратить несанкционированный доступ к картам.

    Образование и информирование: Обучение клиентов о методах мошенничества и том, как защитить свои данные, является важным шагом в борьбе с обналичиванием карт.

    Сотрудничество с правоохранительными органами: Банки активно сотрудничают с правоохранительными органами для выявления и пресечения преступных схем.

    Заключение:

    Обналичивание карт – значительная угроза для финансовой стабильности и безопасности личных данных. Решение этой проблемы требует совместных усилий со стороны банков, правоохранительных органов и общества в целом. Только эффективная борьба с мошенничеством позволит обеспечить безопасность электронных платежей и защитить интересы всех участников финансовой системы.

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    Нарушение законов:
    Приобретение иначе воспользование поддельных купюр являются противоправным деянием, нарушающим законы страны. Вас имеют возможность подвергнуть себя юридическим последствиям, которое может закончиться тюремному заключению, штрафам или приводу в тюрьму.

    Ущерб доверию:
    Фальшивые деньги подрывают доверие в финансовой организации. Их обращение создает возможность для благоприятных личностей и организаций, которые в состоянии столкнуться с непредвиденными расходами.

    Экономический ущерб:
    Распространение контрафактных купюр причиняет воздействие на экономику, провоцируя денежное расширение и подрывая глобальную финансовую устойчивость. Это способно повлечь за собой потере уважения к валютной единице.

    Риск обмана:
    Те, кто, задействованы в изготовлением лживых банкнот, не обязаны поддерживать какие-то стандарты степени. Поддельные бумажные деньги могут быть легко распознаваемы, что, в конечном итоге приведет к потерям для тех собирается воспользоваться ими.

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    При случае лишения свободы при воспользовании поддельных денег, вас в состоянии наказать штрафом, и вы столкнетесь с юридическими трудностями. Это может повлиять на вашем будущем, с учетом трудности с трудоустройством и кредитной историей.

    Благосостояние общества и личное благополучие основываются на честности и доверии в финансовых отношениях. Покупка фальшивых банкнот противоречит этим принципам и может порождать серьезные последствия. Рекомендуется соблюдать законов и заниматься только легальными финансовыми сделками.

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    Нарушение законов:
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    Ущерб доверию:
    Фальшивые банкноты ухудшают веру к денежной системе. Их использование создает опасность для порядочных гражданских лиц и бизнесов, которые в состоянии столкнуться с непредвиденными потерями.

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    Расширение лживых денег оказывает воздействие на экономику, вызывая денежное расширение и ухудшая общую экономическую стабильность. Это имеет возможность послать в потере уважения к денежной системе.

    Риск обмана:
    Личности, которые, вовлечены в изготовлением лживых денег, не обязаны соблюдать какие-то параметры качества. Поддельные купюры могут оказаться легко обнаружены, что в итоге закончится ущербу для тех стремится использовать их.

    Юридические последствия:
    При случае задержания при воспользовании поддельных денег, вас в состоянии взыскать штраф, и вы столкнетесь с юридическими проблемами. Это может отразиться на вашем будущем, включая трудности с трудоустройством с кредитной историей.

    Общественное и индивидуальное благосостояние зависят от честности и доверии в финансовой деятельности. Получение контрафактных купюр нарушает эти принципы и может иметь серьезные последствия. Предлагается держаться законов и вести только легальными финансовыми операциями.

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    Нарушение законов:
    Приобретение либо эксплуатация контрафактных денег приравниваются к правонарушением, подрывающим положения территории. Вас имеют возможность подвергнуть себя судебному преследованию, что возможно послать в задержанию, штрафам иначе постановлению под стражу.

    Ущерб доверию:
    Контрафактные деньги ухудшают доверие по отношению к денежной структуре. Их применение формирует опасность для надежных граждан и организаций, которые способны претерпеть непредвиденными перебоями.

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    Разнос поддельных банкнот оказывает воздействие на экономику, приводя к рост цен что ухудшает общественную денежную устойчивость. Это имеет возможность закончиться потере доверия в национальной валюте.

    Риск обмана:
    Личности, кто, вовлечены в производством лживых денег, не обязаны сохранять какие-то параметры степени. Контрафактные бумажные деньги могут выйти легко распознаны, что в итоге послать в ущербу для тех, кто пытается их использовать.

    Юридические последствия:
    При случае попадания под арест при использовании контрафактных купюр, вас могут оштрафовать, и вы столкнетесь с законными сложностями. Это может оказать воздействие на вашем будущем, в том числе проблемы с поиском работы и историей кредита.

    Благосостояние общества и личное благополучие основываются на правдивости и уважении в денежной области. Закупка контрафактных денег противоречит этим принципам и может представлять серьезные последствия. Советуем соблюдать законов и осуществлять только законными финансовыми сделками.

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    טלגראס כיוונים הוא אתר ובוט בתוך פלטפורמת טלגראס, מספקות דרכי תקשורת ושירותים שונות בתחום רכישת קנאביס וקשורים. באמצעות הבוט, המשתמשים יכולים לבצע מגוון פעולות בקשר לרכישת קנאביס ולשירותים נוספים, תוך כדי תקשורת עם מערכת אוטומטית המבצעת את הפעולות בצורה חכמה ומהירה.

    בוט הטלגראס (Telegrass Bot) מציע מגוון פעולות שימושיות למשתמש: הזמנה קנאביס: בצע קנייה דרך הבוט על ידי בחירת סוגי הקנאביס, כמות וכתובת למשלוח.
    שאלות ותמיכה: קבל מידע על המוצרים והשירותים, תמיכה טכנית ותשובות לשאלות שונות.
    מבחן מלאי: בדוק את המלאי הזמין של קנאביס ובצע הזמנה תוך כדי הקשת הבדיקה.
    הכנסת ביקורות: הוסף ביקורות ודירוגים למוצרים שרכשת, כדי לעזור למשתמשים אחרים.
    הוסיפו מוצרים חדשים: הוסף מוצרים חדשים לפלטפורמה והצג אותם למשתמשים.
    בקיצור, בוט הטלגראס הוא כלי חשוב ונוח שמקל על השימוש והתקשורת בנושאי קנאביס, מאפשר מגוון פעולות שונות ומספק מידע ותמיכה למשתמשים.

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  157. Экзистенция даркнет-маркетов – это явление, который вызывает значительный внимание и разговоры во современном обществе. Скрытая сторона сети, или скрытая сфера сети, является приватную инфраструктуру, доступную исключительно через соответствующие программные продукты а параметры, предоставляющие анонимность пользователей. В данной данной подпольной сети расположены подпольные рынки – электронные рынки, где торгуются разные товары и услуги, в большинстве случаев противозаконного степени.

    В теневых электронных базарах можно обнаружить различные вещи: психоактивные препараты, оружие, ворованные данные, взломанные аккаунты, фальшивые документы и многое другое. Подобные площадки иногда притягивают интерес и криминальных элементов, и обычных пользователей, намеревающихся обходить юриспруденция или получить возможность доступа к вещам или послугам, которые на нормальном всемирной сети были бы в не доступны.

    Однако стоит помнить, как работа в теневых электронных базарах носит незаконный характер а способна спровоцировать значительные юридические нормы последствия по закону. Полицейские органы настойчиво сопротивляются противостоят таковыми площадками, однако по причине скрытности подпольной области данный факт не все время без проблем.

    В результате, существование скрытых интернет-площадок составляет действительностью, но все же эти площадки остаются местом значительных потенциальных угроз как для пользователей, а также для таких, как сообщества во целом.

  158. Тор веб-навигатор – это особый интернет-браузер, который рассчитан для гарантирования конфиденциальности и надежности в Сети. Он разработан на сети Тор (The Onion Router), позволяющая клиентам передавать данными с использованием дистрибутированную сеть узлов, что создает трудным подслушивание их поступков и определение их локации.

    Основная особенность Тор браузера состоит в его способности маршрутизировать интернет-трафик путем несколько пунктов сети Тор, каждый из них зашифровывает информацию перед отправкой следующему за ним узлу. Это создает множество слоев (поэтому и название “луковая маршрутизация” – “The Onion Router”), что делает почти что невероятным подслушивание и установление пользователей.

    Тор браузер часто применяется для преодоления цензуры в государствах, где запрещен доступ к конкретным веб-сайтам и сервисам. Он также даёт возможность пользователям обеспечить конфиденциальность своих онлайн-действий, таких как просмотр веб-сайтов, диалог в чатах и отправка электронной почты, избегая отслеживания и мониторинга со стороны интернет-провайдеров, государственных агентств и киберпреступников.

    Однако следует учитывать, что Тор браузер не гарантирует полной анонимности и устойчивости, и его выпользование может быть ассоциировано с угрозой доступа к незаконным контенту или деятельности. Также вероятно замедление скорости интернет-соединения из-за

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  160. Тор скрытая сеть – это фрагмент интернета, какая, которая работает поверх обычнои? сети, но недоступна для прямого входа через обычные браузеры, такие как Google Chrome или Mozilla Firefox. Для доступа к даннои? сети необходимо специальное программное обеспечение, вроде, Tor Browser, которыи? обеспечивает анонимность и сафети пользователеи?.

    Основнои? принцип работы Тор даркнета основан на использовании маршрутизации через различные ноды, которые кодируют и перенаправляют трафик, создавая сложным слежение его источника. Это создает секретность для пользователеи?, скрывая их реальные IP-адреса и местоположение.

    Тор даркнет содержит различные плеи?сы, включая веб-саи?ты, форумы, рынки, блоги и другие онлаи?н-ресурсы. Некоторые из таких ресурсов могут быть не доступны или пресечены в обычнои? сети, что делает Тор даркнет площадкои? для подачи информациеи? и услугами, включая товары и услуги, которые могут быть противозаконными.

    Хотя Тор даркнет используется несколькими людьми для пересечения цензуры или защиты приватности, он также становится платформои? для различных нелегальных поступков, таких как торговля наркотиками, оружием, кража личных данных, поставка услуг хакеров и прочие злостные действия.

    Важно осознавать, что использование Тор даркнета не обязательно законно и может иметь в себя серьезные риски для защиты и законности.

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  162. стране, как и в иных территориях, теневая сеть представляет собой отрезок интернета, неприступную для регулярного поиска и осмотра через регулярные браузеры. В отличие от публичной плоской соединения, даркнет считается тайным фрагментом интернета, вход к какому часто делается через специализированные софт, такие как Tor Browser, и неизвестные коммуникации, такие как Tor.

    В даркнете собраны различные материалы, включая конференции, рынки, блоги и другие сайты, которые могут быть недоступны или запретны в регулярной сети. Здесь допускается найти различные вещи и послуги, включая незаконные, например наркотические вещества, стрелковое оружие, вскрытые данные, а также услуги компьютерных взломщиков и остальные.

    В стране даркнет также применяется для пересечения цензуры и мониторинга со стороны сторонних. Некоторые участники могут использовать его для передачи информацией в обстоятельствах, когда воля слова заблокирована или информационные материалы подвергнуты цензуре. Однако, также стоит отметить, что в скрытой части интернета есть много не Законной деятельности и рискованных условий, включая надувательство и интернет-преступления

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  166. Присутствие даркнет-маркетов – это явление, что вызывает громадный любопытство и дискуссии во нынешнем мире. Подпольная часть веба, или глубокая зона всемирной сети, представляет собой приватную инфраструктуру, доступную только при помощи определенные программные продукты или параметры, предоставляющие скрытность участников. На данной данной закрытой конструкции лежат даркнет-маркеты – онлайн-платформы, где-нибудь торгуются разные продуктовые товары и услуги, чаще всего противозаконного типа.

    По теневых электронных базарах легко обнаружить самые разнообразные продуктовые товары: психоактивные препараты, вооружение, украденные данные, взломанные аккаунты, фальшивые документы а многое другое. Подобные же площадки иногда магнетизирузивают восторг также правонарушителей, а также обыкновенных пользователей, желающих обойти закон или даже получить доступ к вещам или услуговым предложениям, которые в нормальном вебе могли быть недоступны.

    Однако стоит помнить, каким образом деятельность на даркнет-маркетах имеет незаконный специфику и может создать крупные юридические нормы последствия. Полицейские органы энергично сопротивляются против такими площадками, и все же по причине анонимности скрытой сети это обстоятельство далеко не постоянно без проблем.

    Следовательно, существование теневых электронных базаров есть реальностью, но все же они пребывают сферой серьезных потенциальных угроз как для пользовательских аккаунтов, и для общественности в общем.

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  171. Покупки в скрытой части веба: Мифы и Реальность

    Подпольная сеть, загадочная секция сети, манит интерес пользователей своим анонимностью и возможностью возможностью заказать самые разнообразные товары и услуги без дополнительной информации. Однако, погружение в этот мир непрозрачных рынков имеет в себе с набором опасностей и нюансов, о чем следует знать перед проведением покупок.

    Что значит Даркнет и как это функционирует?

    Для того, кому незнакомо с термином, скрытая часть веба – это сегмент веба, скрытая от обычных поисков. В темном интернете существуют специальные онлайн-рынки, где можно найти практически все : от препаратов и стрелкового оружия и поддельных удостоверений и взломанных аккаунтов.

    Иллюзии о покупках в Даркнете

    Тайность защищена: В то время как, применение анонимных технологий, например Tor, способно помочь скрыть вашу действия в интернете, тайность в скрытой части веба не является полной. Имеется опасность, что ваша личные данные могут обнаружить дезинформаторы или даже сотрудники правоохранительных органов.

    Все товары – высокого качества: В подпольной сети можно наткнуться на множество продавцов, продающих продукцию и услуги. Однако, невозможно гарантировать качество или подлинность товаров, так как нельзя провести проверку до заказа.

    Легальные транзакции без последствий: Многие пользователи неправильно думают, что заказывая товары в подпольной сети, они рискуют низкому риску, чем в реальной жизни. Однако, заказывая запрещенные товары или услуги, вы подвергаете себя наказания.

    Реальность приобретений в Даркнете

    Риски мошенничества и афер: В скрытой части веба множество мошенников, готовы к обману пользователей, которые недостаточно бдительны. Они могут предложить фальшивые товары или просто забрать ваши деньги и исчезнуть.

    Опасность правоохранительных органов: Участники Даркнета рискуют попасть к ответственности перед законом за покупку и заказ неправомерных продуктов и услуг.

    Неопределённость выходов: Не все покупки в скрытой части веба завершаются благополучно. Качество продукции может оставлять желать лучшего, а процесс покупки может послужить источником неприятностей.

    Советы для безопасных сделок в Даркнете

    Проведите полное изучение поставщика и продукции перед приобретением.
    Используйте защитные программы и сервисы для защиты вашей анонимности и безопасности.
    Платите только безопасными методами, например, криптовалютами, и избегайте предоставления личной информации.
    Будьте предельно внимательны и осторожны во всех ваших действиях и решениях.
    Заключение

    Сделки в подпольной сети могут быть как интересным, так и опасным опытом. Понимание возможных опасностей и принятие необходимых мер предосторожности помогут снизить вероятность негативных последствий и обеспечить безопасность при совершении покупок в этом неизведанном мире интернета.

  172. הימורים בפלטפורמת האינטרנט – המימוני ספורטאים, קזינו אונליין, משחקי קלפי.

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    מיליונים שחקנים ממנסות את מזלם במגוון הימורים השונים.

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  351. Understanding COSC Accreditation and Its Importance in Watchmaking
    COSC Accreditation and its Demanding Criteria
    Controle Officiel Suisse des Chronometres, or the Official Swiss Chronometer Testing Agency, is the official Swiss testing agency that verifies the precision and accuracy of wristwatches. COSC accreditation is a sign of quality craftsmanship and reliability in chronometry. Not all watch brands follow COSC accreditation, such as Hublot, which instead sticks to its proprietary strict standards with movements like the UNICO calibre, achieving equivalent precision.

    The Science of Precision Chronometry
    The core system of a mechanical watch involves the mainspring, which provides energy as it unwinds. This system, however, can be susceptible to environmental factors that may impact its precision. COSC-accredited mechanisms undergo strict testing—over fifteen days in various conditions (5 positions, three temperatures)—to ensure their durability and dependability. The tests assess:

    Average daily rate precision between -4 and +6 seconds.
    Mean variation, peak variation levels, and effects of thermal variations.
    Why COSC Accreditation Matters
    For timepiece aficionados and connoisseurs, a COSC-validated watch isn’t just a item of technology but a testament to lasting quality and accuracy. It represents a watch that:

    Presents excellent reliability and accuracy.
    Provides guarantee of quality across the complete design of the watch.
    Is apt to retain its worth more effectively, making it a smart choice.
    Famous Chronometer Manufacturers
    Several famous manufacturers prioritize COSC certification for their watches, including Rolex, Omega, Breitling, and Longines, among others. Longines, for instance, offers collections like the Archive and Soul, which showcase COSC-certified mechanisms equipped with cutting-edge materials like silicon balance suspensions to boost durability and performance.

    Historic Context and the Evolution of Chronometers
    The notion of the chronometer dates back to the need for accurate timekeeping for navigation at sea, emphasized by John Harrison’s work in the eighteenth century. Since the formal establishment of Controle Officiel Suisse des Chronometres in 1973, the accreditation has become a standard for evaluating the precision of luxury watches, continuing a tradition of excellence in horology.

    Conclusion
    Owning a COSC-validated timepiece is more than an visual selection; it’s a dedication to excellence and accuracy. For those appreciating precision above all, the COSC certification provides peacefulness of mind, ensuring that each certified watch will function reliably under various conditions. Whether for personal contentment or as an investment, COSC-validated timepieces distinguish themselves in the world of horology, carrying on a tradition of careful timekeeping.

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