by
https://www.klimarealistene.com/2021/12/03/global-temperatur-november-2021/
Global temperatur november 2021
- desember 3, 2021
- 22:00
- Geir Aaslid
- Kategorier: Roy Spencer, Temperatur
Temperaturdata for november fra UAH ved Dr. Roy Spencer. Globalt satellittmålt temperaturavvik fra gjennomsnittlig temperatur (TLT) for november er med 0,08 o C kraftig ned fra forrige måned, i det femte året med global nedkjøling. Pausen i signifikant global oppvarming som er beskrevet i FNs klimapanels siste hovedrapport fra 2013 er fortsatt reell. Vi viser til januar måned (2019) for informasjon om hvordan FNs klimapanel redefinerer beregning av klima. For informasjon om værfenomenet ENSO (El Niño og La Niña), se Klimanytt120.
UAH temperaturdata fra troposfæren
UAH står for «University of Alabama Huntsville», som publiserer månedlig avvik fra et gjennomsnitt av global temperatur for referanseperioden 1991-2020. Dette er ett av fem globale datasett for temperatur, og av mange regnet for datasettet med høyest kvalitet. November 2021 er med (0,08 o C) kraftig ned fra forrige måneds (0,37 o C).
- Nordlige halvkule klart ned til 0,11 o C, fra 0,46 o C forrige mnd.
- Sydlige halvkule noe ned til 0,06 o C, fra 0,27 o C forrige mnd.
- Tropene noe ned til 0,14 o C, fra 0,33 o C forrige mnd.
- USA48 klart ned til 0,50 o C, fra 0,84 o C forrige mnd.
- Arktis kraftig ned til -0,42 o C, fra 0,63 o C forrige mnd.
- Australia klart ned til -0,29 o C, fra 0,06 o C forrige mnd.
Dataene her er fra lavere troposfære (du kan se UAH-temperatur for hver måned siden 1979 her), men interesserte finner data hos UAH også for Mid-troposfæren, tropopausen og lavere stratosfære.
Temperaturtrender
Trend i global temperatur kan beregnes på flere måter. Dr. Spencer bruker oppvarmingstrenden i UAH-observasjonene i troposfæren siden januar 1979, uten hensyn til trendskiftet i 1998, og får 0,14o C pr tiår (0,12o C over hav og 0,18o C over land).
Klimapanelets hovedrapport fra 2013/14 oppgir trenden i observasjonene etter det observerte trendskiftet, basert på bakkemålt temperatur (WG1AR5, kap 11, side 1010): «It may also be compared with recent rates in the observational record (e.g., ~0.26°C per decade for 1984–1998 and ~0.04°C per decade for hiatus period 1998–2012».
Tysklands kanskje mest framtredende klimaforsker Hans von Storch, uttalte i et intervju med Der Spiegel i 2013 om temperaturtrenden: «In fact, the increase over the last 15 years was just 0.06 degrees Celsius (0.11 degrees Fahrenheit) — a value very close to zero».
Med novemberdataene er vi tilbake i dette beskrevne pauseintervallet, etter at to klare La Niña episoder midlertidig tok observasjonene i en litt varmere retning. Med mindre det kommer en korreksjon opp i en enkelt måned, så skal vi videre ned i alle de neste 4-6 månedene.
Mens man i klimaindustrien tolker alle observasjoner som et tegn på at menneskets utslipp styrer klima, og gjerne korrigerer observasjonene så de passer til enda varmere politiserte klimamodeller, så søker man i vitenskapen etter den lange klimatrenden, uten forstyrrende utslag fra vulkaner eller de kraftigste El Niño/La Niña episodene.
Figuren under fra prof. Solheim (se KN294 for bredere bakgrunn) med UAH-data til og med februar 2021 viser hva man da kan se i en enkel analyse, en trend på 0,02 grader pr tiår. I likhet med IPCC-trenden på 0,04 C pr tiår, for lite til å være statistisk signifikant.
Ser man bort fra aktører i klimaindustrien som ifølge Von Storch oppfører seg mest som et presteskap på prekestolen, så er det på tide nå å ta konsekvensen av at Klimapanelet har feilet i sine påstander om global oppvarming. Det er intet i dataene som tyder på at denne kloden vil nå 1,5C-nivået vist i figuren.
Forhåpentligvis vil dette fremstå enda klarere for litt flere mennesker når vinteren er over og vi kan observere effekten på temperaturene.
ENSO-varsler
ENSO står for «El Niño Southern Oscillation» og består av to faser av den betydeligste havstrømmen på vår klode, et værfenomen i Stillehavet som gir varmeutveksling mellom hav og atmosfære; El Niño (avvik over 0,5 C) hvor varmt overflatevann avgir varme til atmosfæren med vanndampens konveksjon, og La Niña (avvik under -0,5 C) hvor kaldere overflatevann bidrar til lavere atmosfærisk temperatur. Det er solinnstrålingen og jordvarme nedenifra som bidrar til endret havtemperatur, det er ikke CO2. ENSO -fenomenet påvirker ikke global temperatur varig, og vanligvis ser vi over tid en retur til normal temperatur. Likevel selger klimaindustrien varme utslag som menneskeskapt oppvarming fra fossile brensler, mens alle kalde utslag møtes med taushet eller beskrives som ekstremvær.
NOAA i USA modellerer sin ENSO status for SST (temperatur på havoverflaten), i figuren under en fersk analyse (29. nov.) en sterk La Niña sesong gjennom vinteren på nordlige halvkule. For våren (mars-mai) oppgir NOAA 50 % sjanse for fortsatt La Niña.
Vinteren er her
Som vanlig i media er det lite omtale av kulderekorder rundt omkring, med mindre det kan selges som klimakrise. Men her er et unntak fra Barents Observer, som viser til at det i løpet av weekenden kan bli så kaldt som 40 kuldegrader nord i Finland, tradisjonelt kjent som Lappland. Yr.no indikerer 33-35 kuldegrader i det indre av Finnmark tidlig neste uke, noe som er normalt i Finnmark på denne tiden av året.
For værdata i Norge er det best å holde seg unna NRK, de vrir og vrenger, manipulerer og utelater. Følg heller med på VÆRSTAT, hvor Ole Østlid stadig utvider med ny statistikk. Hans siste oppslag er om eksepsjonell kald luft over Svalbard, og hvordan dette forvirrer enkelte.
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在台灣，各式線上娛樂城如同雨後春筍般湧現，競爭激烈。對於一般的玩家來說，選擇一家可靠的線上賭場可說是至關重要的。今天，我們將分享十家最新娛樂城評價及實測的體驗，全面分析它們的優缺點，幫助玩家避免陷入詐騙網站的風險，確保選擇一個安全可靠的娛樂城平台。
娛樂城評價五大標準
在經過我們團隊的多次進行娛樂城實測後，得出了一個值得信任的線上娛樂城平台須包含的幾個要素，所以我們整理了評估娛樂城的五大標準：
條件一：金流帳戶安全性（儲值與出金）
條件二：博弈遊戲種類的豐富性
條件三：線上24小時客服、服務效率與態度
條件四：提供的優惠活動CP值
條件五：真實娛樂城玩家們的口碑評語
通常我們談到金流安全時，指的是對玩家風險的控制能力。一家優秀的娛樂城應當只在有充分證據證明玩家使用非法套利程式，或發現代理和玩家之間有對壓詐騙行為時，才暫時限制該玩家的金流。若無正當理由，則不應隨意限制玩家的金流，以防給玩家造成被詐騙的錯覺。
至於娛樂城的遊戲類型，主要可以分為以下七大類：真人視訊百家樂、彩票遊戲、體育投注、電子老虎機、棋牌遊戲、捕魚機遊戲及電子競技投注。這些豐富多樣的遊戲類型提供了廣泛的娛樂選擇。
十大娛樂城實測評價排名
基於上述五項標準，我們對以下十家現金版娛樂城進行了的實測分析，並對此給出了以下的排名結果：
RG富遊娛樂城
bet365娛樂城
DG娛樂城
yabo亞博娛樂城
PM娛樂城
1XBET娛樂城
九州娛樂城
LEO娛樂城
王者娛樂城
THA娛樂城
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2024娛樂城介紹
台灣2024娛樂城越開越多間，新開的線上賭場層出不窮，每間都以獨家的娛樂城優惠和體驗金來吸引玩家，致力於提供一流的賭博遊戲體驗。以下來介紹這幾間娛樂城網友對他們的真實評價，看看哪些娛樂城上榜了吧！
2024娛樂城排名
2023下半年，各家娛樂城競爭激烈，相繼推出誘人優惠，不論是娛樂城體驗金、反水流水還是首儲禮金，甚至還有娛樂城抽I15手機。以下就是2024年網友推薦的娛樂城排名：
NO.1 富遊娛樂城
NO.2 Bet365台灣
NO.3 DG娛樂城
NO.4 九州娛樂城
NO.5 亞博娛樂城
2024娛樂城推薦
根據2024娛樂城排名，以下將富遊娛樂城、BET365、亞博娛樂城、九州娛樂城、王者娛樂城推薦給大家，包含首儲贈點、免費體驗金、存提款速度、流水等等…
娛樂城遊戲種類
線上娛樂城憑藉其廣泛的遊戲種類，成功滿足了各式各樣玩家的喜好和需求。這些娛樂城遊戲不僅多元化且各具特色，能夠為玩家提供無與倫比的娛樂體驗。下面是一些最受歡迎的娛樂城遊戲類型：
電子老虎機
魔龍傳奇、雷神之鎚、戰神呂布、聚寶財神、鼠來寶、皇家777
真人百家樂
真人視訊百家樂、牛牛、龍虎、炸金花、骰寶、輪盤
電子棋牌
德州撲克、兩人麻將、21點、十三支、妞妞、三公、鬥地主、大老二、牌九
體育下注
世界盃足球賽、NBA、WBC世棒賽、英超、英雄聯盟LOL、特戰英豪
線上彩票
大樂透、539、美國天天樂、香港六合彩、北京賽車
捕魚機遊戲
三仙捕魚、福娃捕魚、招財貓釣魚、西遊降魔、吃我一砲、賓果捕魚
2024娛樂城常見問題
娛樂城是什麼？
娛樂城/線上賭場(現金網)是台灣對於線上賭場的特別稱呼，而且是現金網，大家也許會好奇為什麼不直接叫做線上賭場或是線上博弈就好了。
其實這是有原因的，線上賭場這種東西，架站在台灣是違法的，在早期經營線上博弈被抓的風險非常高所以換了一個打模糊仗的代稱「娛樂城」來規避警方的耳目，畢竟以前沒有Google這種東西，這樣的代稱還是多少有些作用的。
信用版娛樂城是什麼？
信用版娛樂城是一種賭博平台，允許玩家在沒有預先充值的情況下參與遊戲。這種模式類似於信用卡，通常以周結或月結的方式結算遊戲費用。因此，如果玩家無法有效管理自己的投注額，可能會在月底面臨巨大的支付壓力。
娛樂城不出金怎麼辦？
釐清原因，如未違反娛樂城機制，可能是遇上黑網娛樂城，請盡快通報165反詐騙。
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