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https://www.klimarealistene.com/2021/12/03/global-temperatur-november-2021/
Global temperatur november 2021
- desember 3, 2021
- 22:00
- Geir Aaslid
- Kategorier: Roy Spencer, Temperatur
Temperaturdata for november fra UAH ved Dr. Roy Spencer. Globalt satellittmålt temperaturavvik fra gjennomsnittlig temperatur (TLT) for november er med 0,08 o C kraftig ned fra forrige måned, i det femte året med global nedkjøling. Pausen i signifikant global oppvarming som er beskrevet i FNs klimapanels siste hovedrapport fra 2013 er fortsatt reell. Vi viser til januar måned (2019) for informasjon om hvordan FNs klimapanel redefinerer beregning av klima. For informasjon om værfenomenet ENSO (El Niño og La Niña), se Klimanytt120.
UAH temperaturdata fra troposfæren
UAH står for «University of Alabama Huntsville», som publiserer månedlig avvik fra et gjennomsnitt av global temperatur for referanseperioden 1991-2020. Dette er ett av fem globale datasett for temperatur, og av mange regnet for datasettet med høyest kvalitet. November 2021 er med (0,08 o C) kraftig ned fra forrige måneds (0,37 o C).
- Nordlige halvkule klart ned til 0,11 o C, fra 0,46 o C forrige mnd.
- Sydlige halvkule noe ned til 0,06 o C, fra 0,27 o C forrige mnd.
- Tropene noe ned til 0,14 o C, fra 0,33 o C forrige mnd.
- USA48 klart ned til 0,50 o C, fra 0,84 o C forrige mnd.
- Arktis kraftig ned til -0,42 o C, fra 0,63 o C forrige mnd.
- Australia klart ned til -0,29 o C, fra 0,06 o C forrige mnd.
Dataene her er fra lavere troposfære (du kan se UAH-temperatur for hver måned siden 1979 her), men interesserte finner data hos UAH også for Mid-troposfæren, tropopausen og lavere stratosfære.
Temperaturtrender
Trend i global temperatur kan beregnes på flere måter. Dr. Spencer bruker oppvarmingstrenden i UAH-observasjonene i troposfæren siden januar 1979, uten hensyn til trendskiftet i 1998, og får 0,14o C pr tiår (0,12o C over hav og 0,18o C over land).
Klimapanelets hovedrapport fra 2013/14 oppgir trenden i observasjonene etter det observerte trendskiftet, basert på bakkemålt temperatur (WG1AR5, kap 11, side 1010): «It may also be compared with recent rates in the observational record (e.g., ~0.26°C per decade for 1984–1998 and ~0.04°C per decade for hiatus period 1998–2012».
Tysklands kanskje mest framtredende klimaforsker Hans von Storch, uttalte i et intervju med Der Spiegel i 2013 om temperaturtrenden: «In fact, the increase over the last 15 years was just 0.06 degrees Celsius (0.11 degrees Fahrenheit) — a value very close to zero».
Med novemberdataene er vi tilbake i dette beskrevne pauseintervallet, etter at to klare La Niña episoder midlertidig tok observasjonene i en litt varmere retning. Med mindre det kommer en korreksjon opp i en enkelt måned, så skal vi videre ned i alle de neste 4-6 månedene.
Mens man i klimaindustrien tolker alle observasjoner som et tegn på at menneskets utslipp styrer klima, og gjerne korrigerer observasjonene så de passer til enda varmere politiserte klimamodeller, så søker man i vitenskapen etter den lange klimatrenden, uten forstyrrende utslag fra vulkaner eller de kraftigste El Niño/La Niña episodene.
Figuren under fra prof. Solheim (se KN294 for bredere bakgrunn) med UAH-data til og med februar 2021 viser hva man da kan se i en enkel analyse, en trend på 0,02 grader pr tiår. I likhet med IPCC-trenden på 0,04 C pr tiår, for lite til å være statistisk signifikant.
Ser man bort fra aktører i klimaindustrien som ifølge Von Storch oppfører seg mest som et presteskap på prekestolen, så er det på tide nå å ta konsekvensen av at Klimapanelet har feilet i sine påstander om global oppvarming. Det er intet i dataene som tyder på at denne kloden vil nå 1,5C-nivået vist i figuren.
Forhåpentligvis vil dette fremstå enda klarere for litt flere mennesker når vinteren er over og vi kan observere effekten på temperaturene.
ENSO-varsler
ENSO står for «El Niño Southern Oscillation» og består av to faser av den betydeligste havstrømmen på vår klode, et værfenomen i Stillehavet som gir varmeutveksling mellom hav og atmosfære; El Niño (avvik over 0,5 C) hvor varmt overflatevann avgir varme til atmosfæren med vanndampens konveksjon, og La Niña (avvik under -0,5 C) hvor kaldere overflatevann bidrar til lavere atmosfærisk temperatur. Det er solinnstrålingen og jordvarme nedenifra som bidrar til endret havtemperatur, det er ikke CO2. ENSO -fenomenet påvirker ikke global temperatur varig, og vanligvis ser vi over tid en retur til normal temperatur. Likevel selger klimaindustrien varme utslag som menneskeskapt oppvarming fra fossile brensler, mens alle kalde utslag møtes med taushet eller beskrives som ekstremvær.
NOAA i USA modellerer sin ENSO status for SST (temperatur på havoverflaten), i figuren under en fersk analyse (29. nov.) en sterk La Niña sesong gjennom vinteren på nordlige halvkule. For våren (mars-mai) oppgir NOAA 50 % sjanse for fortsatt La Niña.
Vinteren er her
Som vanlig i media er det lite omtale av kulderekorder rundt omkring, med mindre det kan selges som klimakrise. Men her er et unntak fra Barents Observer, som viser til at det i løpet av weekenden kan bli så kaldt som 40 kuldegrader nord i Finland, tradisjonelt kjent som Lappland. Yr.no indikerer 33-35 kuldegrader i det indre av Finnmark tidlig neste uke, noe som er normalt i Finnmark på denne tiden av året.
For værdata i Norge er det best å holde seg unna NRK, de vrir og vrenger, manipulerer og utelater. Følg heller med på VÆRSTAT, hvor Ole Østlid stadig utvider med ny statistikk. Hans siste oppslag er om eksepsjonell kald luft over Svalbard, og hvordan dette forvirrer enkelte.
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Temperaturdata for november fra UAH ved Dr. Roy Spencer.
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Dicho rotativo de nivelacion con canasto de embrague representa un procedimiento esencial con el fin de garantizar el desempeno ideal del propulsion y la impulsion de un automotor. El desequilibrio en la presente parte tiende a provocar temblores, ruido, desgaste acelerado de los elementos e incluso fallos. En el pasado, el estabilizacion se efectuaba luego de sacar el rotativo del unidad, aunque las avances tecnologicos modernas permiten ejecutar dicho metodo sin intermediarios en el transporte, lo que esto reduce periodo y dinero.
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El desequilibrio es una condicion en la que la cantidad de un componente rotacional (en el actual ejemplo, el girador de estabilizacion con cesta de embrague) se distribuye de forma irregular en funcion de su punto de rotacion de rotacion. Esto causa cargas centrifugas que a su vez provocan sacudidas.
Principales causas del Desequilibrio del Girador de Equilibrado con Compartimento de Embrague:
Irregularidades de fabricacion y ensamblaje: Hasta leves desviaciones en la geometria de los piezas tienden a generar desbalance.
Envejecimiento y averias: El uso prolongado, el temperatura elevada y los fallas mecanicas pueden modificar la masa y conducir en desbalance.
Instalacion o arreglo inapropiada: Una ensamblaje inapropiada de la compartimento de embrague o arreglos inadecuados tambien llegan a provocar falta de equilibrio.
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Este volante de estabilizacion con recipiente de embrague es un metodo primordial con el proposito de certificar el operacion optimo del motor y la impulsion de un automotor. El falta de equilibrio en dicha parte puede generar sacudidas, sonido, uso prematuro de los piezas e hasta fallos. Tradicionalmente, el equilibrado se ejecutaba una vez desmontar el girador del motor, no obstante las innovaciones actuales facilitan llevar a cabo tal proceso sin intermediarios en el automotor, lo que esto ahorra plazo y costos.
?Que es el Desbalance?
El desbalance simboliza una circunstancia en la donde la peso de un elemento giratorio (en el actual caso, el volante de estabilizacion con cesta de embrague) se ubica de forma asimetrica en relacion con su centro de giro de movimiento circular. Lo cual provoca esfuerzos centrifugos que causan sacudidas.
Principales del Falta de equilibrio del Volador de Nivelacion con Compartimento de Embrague:
Irregularidades de fabricacion y acoplamiento: Aunque insignificantes diferencias en la geometria de los piezas pueden generar desajuste.
Desgaste y averias: El funcionamiento prolongado, el altas temperaturas y los fallas mecanicas pueden alterar la masa y resultar en desbalance.
Instalacion o mantenimiento deficiente: Una colocacion inapropiada de la canasto de embrague o servicios incorrectos igualmente podrian provocar desequilibrio.
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実は、田浦署長と次男が罰せられない場合の保険要員であり、その場合は南雲が署長室に仕掛けたダイナマイトを遠隔操作で爆破させて彼を殺す予定であったが、志摩から次男がパソコンに保存していた暴行の記念写真が発見されたことで近いうちに手が回り、庇っていた田浦の破滅が確定したために安心し、最後に田浦に爆弾を仕掛けていた旨を連絡して彼を恐怖させ、そのまま出頭する。真夏でも温かい飲み物を飲む。
In alternate for the next value paid upfront to the issuer, or different favorable phrases, the issuer may conform to make the underwriter the unique agent for the preliminary sale of the securities instrument.
The offer, given by Mr.
Diligently apply a baking soda paste to the spot and allow it to take a seat till dry.
Given the lack of detailed census data, it is troublesome to evaluate the relative measurement of the American and Canadian born “British” and the overseas-born “British.” By the point of the primary census in 1841, solely half of the population of Higher Canada have been overseas-born British.
Hiya! I know this is kinda off topic however , I’d figured I’d ask.
Would you be interested in trading links or maybe guest authoring a blog article or
vice-versa? My blog covers a lot of the same subjects as yours
and I feel we could greatly benefit from each other.
If you are interested feel free to shoot me an e-mail. I look forward to
hearing from you! Great blog by the way!
Wow a good deal of good advice.