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Atmosfæretemperatur og CO2
Ny forskning studerer situasjonen, hva er årsak og hva er virkning? IPCC-leirens hypotese er at økt CO2 forårsaker økt temperatur, men denne studien fra Koutsoyiannis og Kundzewicz tar utgangspunkt i at det motsatte kan være tilfelle og ser først på paleoklimatiske fata og deretter på moderne data fra 1980-2019. Studiens fokus er på tidsaspektet (timing) og ikke på graden av endring.
Bakgrunn
Studien ser på forhistorien, fra Tyndall (1865), Den italienske meteorologen De Marchi (1895), Arrhenius (1896) og bemerker at de første eksperimentene både på vanndamp og CO2 ble utført av Eunice Newton Foote (1856). Allerede dengang var det klart at de to variablene CO2 og temperatur var tett knyttet sammen. Filosofisk ser studien på temaet som et klassisk høna-og-egget problem, og viser til Plutarch som tidligst drøftet en slik årsakssammenheng (kausalitet er det fine ordet).
Vi har i 2020 på grunn av Covid-19 pandemien hatt de mest drastiske kutt i industrielle CO2-utslipp (rød stolpe til høyre i figuren under), uten at disse kuttene vises i målinger av atmosfærisk CO2-nivå ved Mauna Loa. Studien peker også på finanskrisen i 2008-2009 hvor det var klare reduksjoner i industrielle CO2-utslipp, uten at det lot seg spore i Mauna-Loa målingene (se Peters et al,)
Paleoklimatiske studier
I dag har vi samlet mye mer viten, spesielt fra paleoklimatiske studier. Denne studien viser til Schmidt et al (2010), som hevder at CO2s andel av IR-absorpsjon er 19% mens vanndamp og skyer står for 75 %. Redaksjonen innskyter at vanndampens dominans ble påpekt allerede på Arrhenius tid av Ångstrøm, så vanndampens rolle har vært kjent i mer enn 100 år, men nøyaktig hvor stor den dominerende effekten av vanndamp inklusive skyer er, fortsatt debatteres.
Årsak og virkning i Phanerozoic-epoken vises tydelig (Vostok-iskjerner) av studien fra Roe (2006), med sitatet «variations in atmospheric CO2 appear to lag the rate of change of global ice volume. This implies only a secondary role for CO2—variations in which produce a weaker radiative forcing than the orbitally-induced changes in summertime insolation—in driving changes in global ice volume.»
En rekke studier støtter Roe, og angir en tidsavstand fra temperaturendring til CO2-endring på 50 til 1000 år, basert på tidsperioden som er studert samt øvrige detaljer i studiene. Ingen studier peker på motsatt mulighet.
CO2-nivå estimert fra iskjerneprøver har flere problemer:
Det har også kommet annen forskning (Massman og Frank 2006) som viser at CO2-nivået på 280 ppm IPCC-leiren benytter seg av bl.a. fra iskjerneprøvene er svært fantasifullt; de skriver konkret: «moderne CO2 konsentrasjon under hardpakket snø i skog og eng varierer fra 600-1800 ppm og nivået kan fluktuere med opptil 200 ppm på bare 4 dager.»
Når man observerer slike forhold i dag ser man problemene med IPCC-leirens bruk av CO2-estimater fra bl.a Vostok. Massmann og Frank støtter dermed Jaworowski, Segalstad, Ono (1992) på at iskjerneprøvene ikke kunne benyttes til å bestemme tidligere tiders CO2-nivå.
Moderne studier
Forskerne har sett på to moderne datasett for temperatur, UAH data for lavere troposfære, og CRUTEM som er landtemperatur, et felles prosjekt fra Met Office Hadley Centre og Climatic Research Unit (CRU) ved University of East Anglia.
Forskjellig trend i de to kurvene er ansett som irrelevant siden det er årsak og virkning man undersøker. Det er velkjent i klimaforskningen at global oppvarming er mye sterkere over land enn over hav og at bakkemålt temperatur er forurenset av et stigende antall termometre i urbane strøk, samt en sterkt varierende gjennomsnitts-avstand fra ekvator.
Det er i figuren under brukt fire datasett for atmosfærisk CO2, Mauna Loa, Barrow i Alaska, Sydpolen og et globalt gjennomsnitt. Som man ser i figuren er forskjellen gjennom året størst der det regionalt er mest fotosyntese.
Studien påpeker klart at man her (figuren under) ikke ser noen årsakssammenheng mellom CO2 og temperatur, fordi temperaturen går kaotisk opp og ned, mens CO2 viser en stabil årsvariasjon og en jevnt stigende kurve.
Kan man med statsitisk analyse vise at det er en årsakssammenheng den andre veien, fra T til CO2? Det kan man.
For de som interesserer seg for detaljene i studiens metodikk og detaljene i den statistiske analyse viser vi til selve studien. Tabell 1 fra studien er gjengitt her, den viser antall måneder før CO2-nivået reagerer på endret temperatur. Studien bruker et signifikansnivå på 1 %.
Konklusjon: T = årsak, CO2 = virkning
Resultatet av studien støtter hypotesen at begge kausalitetsretninger eksisterer, med T som årsak og CO2 som virkning klart dominerende, til tross for at motsatt retning hersker i media og i politikken, samt i IPCC-leiren. Studiens resultater viser at endring i CO2 følger etter endring i temperatur med ca 6 mnd på en månedsskala, eller ca ett år på en årsskala.
Studien viser også til at naturens biokjemiske utslipp av CO2 fra jordmonnet kan øke med høyere temperatur og at dette reiser flere interessante spørsmål. I siste setning påpeker forfatterne i et neppe utilsiktet spark til IPCC-leiren, at forskere i det 21. århundre burde være klar over at komplekse systemer motsetter seg forenklede forklaringer.
Redaksjonen påpeker at denne studien dermed kommer til samme konklusjon som Humlum, Stordahl og Solheim, som i 2013 publiserte en analyse av en noe kortere tidsserie (1980-2012).
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Dicho rotativo de equilibrado con canasto de embrague constituye un metodo esencial con el fin de certificar el desempeno excelente del propulsion y la transferencia de un camion. El desequilibrio en la presente unidad tiende a causar sacudidas, estruendo, deterioro rapido de los elementos e pudiendo llegar a averias. Historicamente, el estabilizacion se efectuaba despues de sacar el volador del propulsion, sin embargo las desarrollos recientes facilitan efectuar tal metodo sin intermediarios en el vehiculo, esto que reduce plazo y presupuesto.
Cual es el Falta de equilibrio?
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Principales del Falta de equilibrio del Volante de Balanceo con Compartimento de Embrague:
Inexactitudes de fabricacion y ensamblaje: Hasta leves divergencias en la estructura de los piezas podrian generar desequilibrio.
Desgaste y problemas: El funcionamiento prolongado, el exceso de calor y los desperfectos mecanicos pueden afectar la volumen y conducir en desbalance.
Colocacion o arreglo incorrecta: Una montaje inapropiada de la compartimento de embrague o reparaciones inapropiados igualmente pueden provocar falta de equilibrio.
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戰神賽特老虎機
戰神賽特老虎機以其獨特的主題和豐富的獎勵機制，成為老虎機愛好者的最愛。該遊戲結合了古代戰神的故事背景，讓玩家在遊戲過程中感受到無窮的樂趣。
最新優惠活動
富遊娛樂城註冊送體驗金
富遊娛樂城新會員獨享 $168 體驗金，無需儲值即可享受全場遊戲，讓您無壓力地體驗不同遊戲的魅力。
VIP 日日返水無上限
富遊娛樂城為 VIP 會員提供無上限的返水優惠，最高可達 0.7%。此活動讓玩家在遊戲的同時，還能享受額外的回饋。
結論
選擇合適的娛樂城不僅能為您的遊戲體驗增色不少，還能通過各種優惠活動獲得更多的利益。無論是新會員還是資深玩家，都能在這些推薦的娛樂城中找到適合自己的遊戲和活動。立即註冊並體驗這些優質娛樂平台，享受無限的遊戲樂趣！
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娛樂城推薦與優惠詳解
在現今的娛樂世界中，線上娛樂城已成為眾多玩家的首選。無論是喜歡真人遊戲、老虎機還是體育賽事，每個玩家都能在娛樂城中找到自己的樂趣。以下是一些熱門的娛樂城及其優惠活動，幫助您在選擇娛樂平台時做出明智的決定。
各大熱門娛樂城介紹
1. 富遊娛樂城
富遊娛樂城以其豐富的遊戲選擇和慷慨的優惠活動吸引了大量玩家。新會員只需註冊即可免費獲得體驗金 $168，無需儲值即可輕鬆試玩。此外，富遊娛樂城還提供首存禮金 100% 獎勵，最高可領取 $1000。
2. AT99娛樂城
AT99娛樂城以高品質的遊戲體驗和優秀的客戶服務聞名。該平台提供各種老虎機和真人遊戲，並定期推出新遊戲，讓玩家保持新鮮感。
3. BCR娛樂城
BCR娛樂城是一個新興的平台，專注於提供豐富的體育賽事投注選項。無論是足球、籃球還是其他體育賽事，BCR都能為玩家提供即時的投注體驗。
熱門遊戲推薦
WM真人視訊百家樂
WM真人視訊百家樂是許多玩家的首選，該遊戲提供了真實的賭場體驗，並且玩法簡單，容易上手。
戰神賽特老虎機
戰神賽特老虎機以其獨特的主題和豐富的獎勵機制，成為老虎機愛好者的最愛。該遊戲結合了古代戰神的故事背景，讓玩家在遊戲過程中感受到無窮的樂趣。
最新優惠活動
富遊娛樂城註冊送體驗金
富遊娛樂城新會員獨享 $168 體驗金，無需儲值即可享受全場遊戲，讓您無壓力地體驗不同遊戲的魅力。
VIP 日日返水無上限
富遊娛樂城為 VIP 會員提供無上限的返水優惠，最高可達 0.7%。此活動讓玩家在遊戲的同時，還能享受額外的回饋。
結論
選擇合適的娛樂城不僅能為您的遊戲體驗增色不少，還能通過各種優惠活動獲得更多的利益。無論是新會員還是資深玩家，都能在這些推薦的娛樂城中找到適合自己的遊戲和活動。立即註冊並體驗這些優質娛樂平台，享受無限的遊戲樂趣！
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Если ты выбираете цветы, что станут восхищать тебя своей красотой и благоуханием, одновременно с тем не нуждаясь в сложного ухода, сортовые пеларгонии — лучший выбор. Эти цветы имеют уникальными достоинствами, которые делают их ведущими в категории декоративных растений.
Почему элитные пеларгонии?
Легкость и простота в обслуживании
Пеларгонии не запрашивают специальных требований для роста и быстро адаптируются к различным температурным режимам. Они замечательно развиваются как в доме, так и на свежем воздухе. Не беспокойтесь о прихотливых цветах — герани хватает увлажнять по степени исчезновения влаги земли и наслаждаться их цветами.
Яркие и разнообразные цвета
Каждый разновидность гераней имеет свои уникальные оттенки и формы. Разновидности, например как, Ю Полонез, поражают насыщенными цветами и впечатляющими цветами. Это растения, что мгновенно захватывают интерес и обеспечивают яркие подчеркивания в каждом окружении.
Легкий запах, придающий комфорт
Пеларгонии не только украшают жилище — они снабжают его легким, ненавязчивым ароматом. Этот естественный запах обеспечивает сформировать ощущение комфорта и уюта, а вдобавок действует как естественный репеллент для мошек.
Продолжительное цветение
Разновидные герани продолжают удивлять вид своим цветением в течение нескольких недель. Люди будут радоваться их процветанием с начала лета и до холодов осени. Такое продолжительное цветение — исключительное свойство среди декоративных цветов.
Лучший решение для различного места
Герани универсальны — их можно содержать как в вазонах на оконных рамах, так и в на участке. Компактные растения, включая ИВ Галина Уланова, идеально выглядят в декоративных контейнерах, а виды, как Survivor idols Rosalinda, станут декорацией цветника.
Для чего стоит остановиться на точно герани?
Этих цветы — не только декоративный элемент интерьера. Они существенно выделяются по сравнению с других растений по причине своей простоте, эстетичности и продолжительному процветанию. Их живописные оттенки создают особенную атмосферу, будь то в доме или на садовом участке. Пеларгонии — это идеальный гармония красоты и функциональности.
Останавливайтесь на герани — формируйте вокруг эстетику без ненужных трудностей!
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