by
FNs klimapanel feiltolker sol- og klimadata
- mai 19, 2021
- 16:57
- Geir Aaslid
- Kategorier: David Legates, Fritz Vahrenholt, Hermann harde, Jan-Erik Solheim, Nicola Scafetta, Ole Humlum, Sallie Baliunas, Sol, Temperatur, Vitenskap
Forfattet av Ole Humlum, professor emeritus, Univ. i Oslo og Jan-Erik Solheim, professor emeritus, Norges Arktiske Universitet UiT. Begge er medlemmer av Klimarealistenes Vitenskapelige Råd.
En global forskergruppe har publisert en rapport som viser at vi vet for lite om årsakene til klimaendringer til å kunne konkludere med at klimagassene er så viktige som FNs klimapanel forutsetter. Vår forskning gir et resultat som ikke stemmer med konklusjoner fra FNs klimapanel som bygger på ufullstendige og gale temperaturdata og manglende forståelse av solas utstråling. Påstander om menneskers sterke påvirkning av jordas klima er ikke tilstrekkelig begrunnet.
Den vitenskapelige rapporten «How much has the Sun influenced Northern Hemisphere temperature trends? An ongoing debate.» er akseptert for publikasjon i juni i tidsskriftet «Research in Astronomy and Astrophysics» (23 eksperter fra 14 land, se nederst for lenke og full referanse) tilsier at konklusjonene til FNs klimapanel om at klimaendringene i all hovedsak skyldes menneskelig virksomhet er svakt begrunnet. Denne fagfellevurderte rapporten beregner det menneskelige bidraget til mindre enn 0,21°C pr hundre år, hvilket nesten ikke er målbart. Dette skiller seg klart fra Klimapanelet som konkluderer med at Sola ikke har hatt noen virkning på klimaet de siste 100-150 år.
Det meste av den energien som finnes i jordas atmosfære kommer fra Sola. Det har lenge vært kjent at endringer i «total solutstråling» (TSI), eller den mengde energi mottatt fra Sola i løpet av de siste hundreårene, kan ha bidratt vesentlig til de seneste tiders klimaendringer.
Solforskningen viser solas sterke påvirkning
Forskerne sammenligner her i alt 16 forskjellige estimater av strålingsvariasjoner fra sola, inklusive data som brukes av Klimapanelet. Disse kobles sammen med 26 forskjellige estimater av temperaturvariasjoner på jordas nordlige halvkules landområder siden 1850 (sortert i fem kategorier), inklusive datasett brukt av Klimapanelet. Grunnen til at rapporten fokuserer på nordlige halvkule er at her finnes lengere og fyldigere dataserier enn for den sørlige halvkule. Men vi antar at våre resultater er globalt gyldige.
Vår undersøkelse viser at forskere kommer til motsatte konklusjoner om årsaken til de observerte klimavariasjoner, avhengig av hvilke datasett som brukes. Som eksempel viser i figuren ovenfor grafene på venstre side hvordan hele temperaturutviklingen kan forklares ved menneskelig aktivitet (CO2-utslipp etc.) hvis temperaturserier som inkluderer temperaturer målt i byer og tettsteder (særlig på flyplasser) brukes sammen med serier som viser beskjedne variasjoner i solutstråling. De menneskeskapte bidragene blir da 0,84°C per hundre år og de naturlige bidrag fra sol og vulkaner omtrent null.
Dette kan sammenlignes med grafene på høyre side som viser at mesteparten av temperaturøkningen skyldes sol og vulkaner dersom vi bruker temperaturdata fra målestasjoner utenfor byer og tettsteder sammen med dataserier med større variasjoner i solutstrålingen. Det menneskelige bidraget er her beregnet til mindre enn 0,21°C pr hundre år, hvilket er nesten ikke målbart.
Klimapanelet: mennesket styrer klima
I neste og 6. rapport fra FNs-klimapanel (2021/2022) brukes dataserier som vist til venstre i figuren, med målestasjoner fra byer og tettsteder i hele verden, sammen med serier som viser liten eller ingen virkning av Sola. I denne rapporten unnlater forfatterne å fortelle om forskning som viser at temperaturen stiger langsommere utenom byer og tettsteder og at det er forskere som har konkludert med at Sola varier langt mer enn de måleseriene Klimapanelet bruker, – samtidig som det hevdes at det er konsensus blant forskerne om at Klimapanelets konklusjoner er riktige.
Konklusjon
Ettersom Klimapanelet ikke er i stand til å gi en riktig fremstilling av forskningen på feltet, må panelets konklusjoner karakteriseres som upålitelig. Mer forskning er nødvendig for å oppklare årsaken til de forskjellige tolkingene og finne en begrunnelse for hvilke av tolkningene som er mest korrekte. Naturvitenskapelig forskning avgjøres ikke ved konsensus, men ved observasjoner og eksperimenter som ikke lar seg motbevise.
Vår konklusjon er at Klimapanelets påstander om menneskers sterke påvirkning av jordas klima ikke er tilstrekkelig begrunnet.
Full referanse til rapporten (preprint versjon):
R. Connolly, W. Soon, M. Connolly, S. Baliunas, J. Berglund, C. J. Butler, R. G. Cionco, A. G. Elias, V. M. Fedorov, H. Harde, G. W. Henry, D. V. Hoyt, O. Humlum, D. R. Legates, S. Luning, N. Scafetta, J.-E. Solheim, L. Szarka, H. van Loon, V. M. Velasco Herrera, R. C. Willson, H. Yan and W. Zhang (2021). How much has the Sun influenced Northern Hemisphere temperature trends? An ongoing debate. Research in Astronomy and Astrophysics.
I Am Going To have to come back again when my course load lets up – however I am taking your Rss feed so i can go through your site offline. Thanks.
Your idea is outstanding; the issue is something that not enough persons are speaking intelligently about. I’m very happy that I stumbled throughout this in my seek for one thing regarding this.
There are some serious financial ramifications here.
Your point of view caught my eye and was very interesting. Thanks. I have a question for you.
of course like your web-site however you have to check the spelling on several of your posts. Many of them are rife with spelling problems and I find it very troublesome to tell the reality then again I will surely come back again.
Very Interesting Information! Thank You For Thi Information!
I just couldn’t leave your website before suggesting that I really enjoyed the usual information an individual supply on your visitors? Is gonna be back often in order to investigate cross-check new posts
I have not checked in here for some time since I thought it was getting boring, but the last several posts are great quality so I guess I will add you back to my daily bloglist. You deserve it my friend 🙂
Excellent website. Lots of helpful information here. I’m sending it to some pals ans additionally sharing in delicious. And of course, thank you on your sweat!
Medyumlar sitemiz hakkında ne güzel sayfaya sahip olan Medyum Haluk Yıldız Hocamıza Sizlerde Danışabilirsiniz.
bonjour I love Your Blog can not say I come here often but im liking what i c so far….
But wanna remark on few general things, The website style is perfect, the subject material is rattling wonderful. “Some for renown, on scraps of learning dote, And think they grow immortal as they quote.” by Edward Young.
Thanks for another wonderful article. Where else could anybody get that kind of information in such a perfect way of writing? I have a presentation next week, and I am on the look for such information.
W Vavada jesteśmy dumni z bycia dynamicznie rozwijającą się platformą gier online, która zdobywa uznanie graczy z Polski. Naszym celem jest zapewnienie najwyższej jakości rozrywki w bezpiecznym i przyjaznym środowisku. Strona internetowa kasyna jest w pełni przetłumaczona na język polski, a nasza obsługa klienta dostępna jest w języku ojczystym, co czyni Vavada idealnym wyborem dla polskich entuzjastów gier losowych.
Great post, keep up the good work, I hope you don’t mind but I’ve added on my blog roll.
I like this web site very much, Its a rattling nice spot to read and incur information. “A little in one’s own pocket is better than much in another man’s purse.” by Miguel de Cervantes.
It’s a comprehensive, yet fast read.
Your posts provide a clear, concise description of the issues.
You appear to know so much about this, and I see you’re a published author. Thanks
Only a smiling visitor here to share the love (:, btw outstanding style and design .
you may have an ideal blog here! would you prefer to make some invite posts on my blog?
Somebody necessarily lend a hand to make critically articles I would state. This is the first time I frequented your web page and up to now? I surprised with the analysis you made to make this actual submit incredible. Magnificent activity!
Hey! awesome blog! I happen to be a daily visitor to your site (somewhat more like addict 😛 ) of this website. Just wanted to say I appreciate your blogs and am looking forward for more!
I just added this to my favorites. I truly love reading your posts. Tyvm!
Thanks , I’ve recently been searching for info about this topic for ages and yours is the best I have discovered so far. But, what concerning the bottom line? Are you certain concerning the source?
Our communities really need to deal with this.
Chcesz znaleźć najlepsze kasyna online w Polsce i rozpocząć przygodę z grami kasynowymi w sieci? Na Game-cme.org czekają na Ciebie wyłącznie zweryfikowane, rzetelnie sprawdzone i rekomendowane platformy do gry. Sprawdź aktualny ranking TOP kasyn, skorzystaj z atrakcyjnych bonusów powitalnych oraz kodów promocyjnych i wybierz idealne miejsce do rozrywki. Zapraszamy do zapoznania się z naszym przewodnikiem! Wielu graczy zastanawia się, czy korzystanie z kasyn online w Polsce jest zgodne z prawem. Okazuje się, że krajowe przepisy w tej kwestii są wyjątkowo rygorystyczne. Wszystko za sprawą ustawy hazardowej z 2017 roku, która wymaga, aby każda platforma oferująca gry kasynowe online posiadała licencję wydawaną przez Ministerstwo Finansów. Jednak zdobycie takiego zezwolenia jest niemal niemożliwe, ponieważ spełnienie wymagań stawianych operatorom stanowi ogromne wyzwanie.
I am very happy to look your post. Thanks a lot and i am taking a look ahead to touch you.
Hello there, just became aware of your blog through Google, and found that it is truly informative. I am going to watch out for brussels. I will appreciate if you continue this in future. Lots of people will be benefited from your writing. Cheers!
Od 2019 roku Pelican Casino jest jednym z liderów wśród kasyn online w Polsce. Nasza platforma oferuje szeroki wybór gier, które zadowolą każdego gracza. Dzięki atrakcyjnym bonusom i promocjom, zapewniamy niezapomniane wrażenia. Jednym z naszych wyróżników jest bonus powitalny, który wynosi 150% do 2000 zł oraz 100 darmowych spinów. Minimalny depozyt to tylko 125 PLN, co sprawia, że nasza strona jest dostępna dla każdego. Licencja Curaçao gwarantuje bezpieczeństwo i uczciwość rozgrywek. Pelican Casino to nie tylko różnorodność gier, ale także responsywny design strony i szybkie transakcje. Zachęcamy do założenia konta i skorzystania z naszej oferty, która z pewnością spełni Twoje oczekiwania.
How do I subscribe to your blog? Thanks for your help.
Saw your material, and hope you publish more soon.
very good post, i certainly love this web site, keep on it
Great write-up, I am a big believer in placing comments on sites to inform the blog writers know that they’ve added something advantageous to the world wide web!
Καθώς τα χρόνια περνούν, η βιομηχανία του τζόγου συνεχώς εξελίσσεται, προσφέροντας ολοένα και περισσότερες επιλογές διασκέδασης. Τα καζίνο δεν αποτελούν απλώς χώρους παιχνιδιού, αλλά και εμπειρίες γεμάτες ένταση, όπου οι παίκτες αναζητούν τόσο τη διασκέδαση όσο και την πιθανότητα μεγάλων κερδών. Ειδικά στην Ελλάδα, όπου το πάθος για τα τυχερά παιχνίδια είναι βαθιά ριζωμένο, η δημοτικότητα του διαδικτυακού τζόγου αυξάνεται σταθερά. Μέσα σε αυτό το δυναμικό τοπίο, το Leon Casino έχει καταφέρει να ξεχωρίσει και να εδραιωθεί ως μία από τις πιο αξιόπιστες πλατφόρμες της αγοράς. Ο λόγος είναι προφανής: το Leon.bet Casino προσφέρει μια πλήρως εξοπλισμένη πλατφόρμα με πληθώρα επιλογών παιχνιδιών, διατηρώντας υψηλά πρότυπα ασφάλειας και ποιότητας στις υπηρεσίες του.
Very fine blog.
Kasyno VAVADA oferuje najlepsze automaty do gier (sloty), popularne gry stołowe oraz nowoczesne kasyno na żywo. Serwis wyróżnia się rozbudowanymi bonusami i licznymi turniejami z wysokimi pulami nagród. Vavada rozszerzyła również listę dostępnych metod płatności, aby transakcje finansowe były szybkie i wygodne. Proces tworzenia konta w VAVADA jest bardzo prosty. Przycisk rejestracji znajduje się w prawym górnym rogu, obok przycisku logowania i czatu wsparcia. Każdy gracz może mieć tylko jedno konto. Aby się zarejestrować, należy: Podać numer telefonu lub adres e-mail. Ustawić hasło do konta. Wybrać walutę głównego salda. Kliknąć „Zarejestruj się”. Przed zakończeniem rejestracji musisz zaakceptować regulamin kasyna.
Najpopularniejszym gatunkiem rozrywki w Vavada Polska są automaty do gier, których jest kilka tysięcy. Są one dostarczane przez dostawców, z których każdy jest licencjonowany i ma dobrą reputację w Polsce. Są dobrze znani wśród doświadczonych graczy kasyn online: są to NetEnt, Yggdrasil i tak dalej. Strona prezentuje wszystkie gatunki slotów z różnymi funkcjami: jackpot, bonus buy in. Tryb demonstracyjny jest dostępny dla każdego automatu, umożliwiając wypróbowanie dowolnej maszyny za darmo. System wyszukiwania pomoże ci znaleźć odpowiednią grę dostępną w kasynie.
Aw, this was a very nice post. In idea I wish to put in writing like this moreover taking time and precise effort to make an excellent article! I procrastinate alot and by no means seem to get something done.
Some truly nice and utilitarian information on this website, as well I conceive the style contains great features.
Right now it looks like WordPress is the top blogging platform out there right now. (from what I’ve read) Is that what you’re using on your blog?
This contained some excellent tips and tools. Great blog publication.
I truly appreciate this post. I have been looking everywhere for this! Thank goodness I found it on Bing. You have made my day! Thank you again
This is a great blog. Thank you for the very informative post.
Unquestionably believe that which you said. Your favorite reason seemed to be on the net the easiest thing to be aware of. I say to you, I certainly get annoyed while people consider worries that they plainly don’t know about. You managed to hit the nail on the head. Will probably be back to get more. Thanks
Greetings… your blog is very interesting and beautifully written.
Home equity release may provide the financial support you’ve been looking for. Learn how to tap into the equity tied up in your home without having to move.
The start of a fast-growing trend?
Thanks for some other great post. Where else may anybody get that kind of information in such an ideal method of writing? I’ve a presentation next week, and I am at the look for such information.
Thanks a bunch for sharing this with all people you really recognize what you are talking about! Bookmarked. Kindly also seek advice from my web site =). We can have a link alternate contract between us!
Well, I don’t know if that’s going to work for me, but definitely worked for you! 🙂 Excellent post!
Beneficial Blog! I had been simply just debating that there are plenty of screwy results at this issue you now purely replaced my personal belief. Thank you an excellent write-up.
Hello there, just became aware of your blog through Google, and found that it is truly informative. I am going to watch out for brussels. I will appreciate if you continue this in future. Lots of people will be benefited from your writing. Cheers!
Thanks a bunch for sharing this with all people you really recognize what you are talking about! Bookmarked. Kindly also seek advice from my web site =). We can have a link alternate contract between us!
I think I might disagree with some of your analysis. Are the figures solid?
Thanks , I’ve recently been searching for info about this topic for ages and yours is the best I have discovered so far. But, what concerning the bottom line? Are you certain concerning the source?
I wish I could craft such articles as this. Thank you very much.
We’re developing some community services to respond to this, and your blog is helpful.
you may have an ideal blog here! would you prefer to make some invite posts on my blog?
Developing a framework is important.
I wanted to check up and let you know how, a great deal I cherished discovering your blog today. I might consider it an honor to work at my office and be able to utilize the tips provided on your blog and also be a part of visitors’ reviews like this. Should a position associated with guest writer become on offer at your end, make sure you let me know.
I was suggested this website by my cousin. I am not sure whether this post is written by him as no one else know such detailed about my difficulty. You are wonderful! Thanks!
Abnormal this put up is totaly unrelated to what I was searching google for, but it surely used to be listed at the first page. I suppose your doing one thing proper if Google likes you adequate to place you at the first page of a non similar search.
Thanks a lot for the blog.Really looking forward to read more. Much obliged.
Азартные игры в онлайн формате стали значимым элементом развлекательной индустрии Польши. В современном мире, где цифровизация охватывает все области жизни, онлайн казино в этой стране предоставляет уникальные возможности для азартных развлечений. Польские казино предлагают широкий выбор игр на злотые и другие валюты, гарантируя игрокам безопасность и правомерность. В данной статье представлен подробный обзор онлайн казино в Польше, который охватывает такие аспекты, как регулирование, популярные игры, методы оплаты, законодательство, процесс начала игры, плюсы и минусы.
The clarity in your post is just nice and I can tell you are an expert in the subject matter.
Азартные игры в онлайн формате стали значимым элементом развлекательной индустрии Польши. В современном мире, где цифровизация охватывает все области жизни, онлайн казино в этой стране предоставляет уникальные возможности для азартных развлечений. Польские казино предлагают широкий выбор игр на злотые и другие валюты, гарантируя игрокам безопасность и правомерность. В данной статье представлен подробный обзор онлайн казино в Польше, который охватывает такие аспекты, как регулирование, популярные игры, методы оплаты, законодательство, процесс начала игры, плюсы и минусы.
Great info! Keep post great articles.
Spot on with this write-up, I truly believe this website requirements a lot much more consideration. I’ll probably be once more to read much much more, thanks for that info.
I have been curious about these trends, and you have really helped me. I have just told a few of my friends about this on FaceBook and they love your content just as much as I do.
If most people wrote about this subject with the eloquence that you just did, I’m sure people would do much more than just read, they act. Great stuff here. Please keep it up.
I think that may be an interesting element, it made me assume a bit. Thanks for sparking my considering cap. On occasion I get so much in a rut that I simply really feel like a record.
You certainly deserve a round of applause for your post and more specifically, your blog in general. Very high quality material!
Hi my family member! I want to say that this article is amazing, great written and include approximately all important infos. I’d like to see more posts like this .
Thanks , I’ve recently been searching for info about this topic for ages and yours is the best I have discovered so far. But, what concerning the bottom line? Are you certain concerning the source?
I saw a similar post on another website but the points were not as well articulated.
you may have an ideal blog here! would you prefer to make some invite posts on my blog?
These are some of the most important issues we’ll face over the next few decades.
Specjalnie dla naszych polskich graczy przygotowaliśmy wyjątkową ofertę powitalną. Odbierz €7 bonusu bez depozytu natychmiast po rejestracji! Dodatkowo, czeka na Ciebie 1000% bonusu aż do €1000 oraz 50 darmowych spinów na pierwszy depozyt. To nie koniec – drugi depozyt nagradzamy premią 50%, a trzeci aż 150%. Kasyno Gratowin to idealny wybór dla graczy ceniących sobie różnorodność i jakość. Oferujemy bogaty wybór ponad 3000 gier, atrakcyjne promocje dla nowych i stałych graczy oraz błyskawiczne wypłaty dzięki licencjonowanym i bezpiecznym metodom płatności. Dodatkowo nasz zespół wsparcia klienta dostępny jest 24/7, gotowy do pomocy o każdej porze. Kasyno Gratowin zapewnia nie tylko emocje, ale i pełen komfort gry.
Witamy w Vox Casino, wyjątkowym miejscu stworzonym z myślą o polskich graczach poszukujących najlepszych doświadczeń w kasynie online. Oferujemy szeroką gamę ekscytujących gier, atrakcyjne bonusy i promocje, a wszystko to w bezpiecznym i przyjaznym środowisku. Nasza platforma została zaprojektowana tak, aby zapewnić płynną nawigację i niezapomniane wrażenia, niezależnie od tego, czy jesteś doświadczonym graczem, czy dopiero zaczynasz swoją przygodę. Dołącz do społeczności Vox kasyno i odkryj świat emocjonującej rozrywki, dostępny na wyciągnięcie ręki, 24 godziny na dobę, 7 dni w tygodniu.
Saw your material, and hope you publish more soon.
Hi there, just became aware of your blog through Google, and found that it’s truly informative. It’s important to cover these trends.
Kasyno online w Polsce to dynamicznie rozwijająca się forma rozrywki, łącząca nowoczesność z bezpieczeństwem. Dzięki kasynom online PL z legalną licencją, gracze mogą cieszyć się grami hazardowymi online w pełni legalnie. Polskie kasyno internetowe oferuje nie tylko automaty czy kasyno na żywo, ale też atrakcyjne bonusy i ochronę danych. Sprawdź ranking kasyn, by wybrać platformę z potwierdzonym bezpieczeństwem kasyna! Uwaga: Przed wyborem kasyna online w Polsce sprawdź aktualne promocje kasynowe i dokładnie przeczytaj regulamin kasyna. Niektóre oferty (np. bonus bez obrotu) mogą wymagać spełnienia określonych warunków.
Thank you for the blog post, I enjoyed!
Are the issues really as complex as they seem?
Wow, amazing blog layout! How long have you been blogging for? you made blogging look easy. The overall look of your site is great, as well as the content!
However, it is virtually all done with tongues rooted solidly in cheeks, and everyone has absolutely nothing but absolutely love for his or her friendly neighborhood scapegoat. The truth is, he is not just a pushover. He is basically that special variety of person strong enough to take all of that good natured ribbing for exactly what it is.
I’ll gladly recommend this.
Well done! Keep up this quality!
How come you do not have your website viewable in mobile format? cant see anything in my Droid.
Very nice post. I just stumbled upon your blog and wanted to say that I’ve really enjoyed browsing your blog posts. In any case I’ll be subscribing to your rss feed and I hope you write again soon!
I absolutely appreciated the approach this was written.
A thoughtful insight and ideas I will use on my blog. You’ve obviously spent some time on this. Congratulations
I am lucky that I discovered this website , precisely the right info that I was searching for! .