3. February 2023

Global temperatur September 2022. Hentet. Temperaturdata for september fra UAH ved Dr. Roy Spencer.


Global temperatur September 2022

Temperaturdata for september fra UAH ved Dr. Roy Spencer. Globalt satellittmålt temperaturavvik fra gjennomsnittlig temperatur (TLT) for september korrigerer ned til 0,24 C, fra augusts 0,28 C, i det sjette året med global nedkjøling. Vi viser til januar måned (2019) for informasjon om hvordan FNs klimapanel redefinerer beregning av klima. For mer informasjon om værfenomenet ENSO (El Niño og La Niña), se Klimanytt120.

UAH har temperaturdata fra troposfæren

UAH står for «University of Alabama Huntsville», de bruker data fra NASAs satelitter og publiserer månedlig avvik fra et gjennomsnitt av global temperatur for referanseperioden 1991-2020. Dette er ett av fem globale datasett for temperatur, og av mange regnet for datasettet med høyest kvalitet. September 2022 korrigerer ned til 0,24 C, fra forrige måneds 0,28 o.

  • Nordlige halvkule litt opp til 0,43 o C, fra 0,31 C forrige mnd.
  • Sydlige halvkule klart ned til 0,06 o C, fra 0,24 C forrige mnd.
  • Tropene noe opp til 0,03 C, fra -0,04 C forrige mnd.
  • USA48 klart opp til 0,88 C, fra 0,59 C forrige mnd.
  • Arktis noe opp til 0,69 C, fra 0,50 C forrige mnd.
  • Australia klart ned til -0,29 C, fra -0,01 C forrige mnd.
Nok en måned med små endringer, helt innenfor rammen av det man forventer fra naturlige endringer i klima.

Dataene her er fra lavere troposfære (du kan se UAH-temperatur for hver måned siden 1979 her), men interesserte finner data hos UAH også for Mid-troposfæren, tropopausen og lavere stratosfære.

ENSO står for «El Niño Southern Oscillation» og består av to faser av den betydeligste havstrømmen på vår klode, et værfenomen i Stillehavet som gir varmeutveksling mellom hav og atmosfære; El Niño (avvik over 0,5 C) hvor varmt overflatevann avgir varme til atmosfæren med vanndampens konveksjon, og La Niña  (avvik under -0,5 C) hvor kaldere overflatevann bidrar til lavere atmosfærisk temperatur. Det er solinnstrålingen og jordvarme nedenifra som bidrar til endret havtemperatur, det er ikke CO2. ENSO -fenomenet påvirker ikke global temperatur varig, og vanligvis ser vi over tid en retur til normal temperatur. Likevel selger klimaindustrien varme utslag som menneskeskapt oppvarming fra fossile brensler, mens alle kalde utslag møtes med taushet eller beskrives som ekstremvær.

NOAA i USA modellerer sin nyeste ENSO status for SST (temperatur på havoverflaten), i figuren over, i en fersk analyse (3. oktober).

Denne prognosen viser, som de seks forrige, en fortsatt La Niña sesong. For senhøsten 91 % La Niña sjanse, for vintermånedene 54 % La Niña sjanse, med en sannsynlig retur til nøytrale forhold til våren (april/mai).

16 thoughts on “Global temperatur September 2022. Hentet. Temperaturdata for september fra UAH ved Dr. Roy Spencer.

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