CO2 = Global oppvarming? Moderne tids største bløff.
Hvorfor havnet CO2 debatten hvor den er i dag i verdenspolitikken?
www.EtBedreNorge.no Mai 2010. Red.Aug.2011.
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Ved jordens tilblivelse (4-5 milliarder år siden) besto atmosfæren av ca 80 % eller 800 000 ppm CO2.
Siden har nivået sunket jevnt og trutt til 250-450 ppm som vi har hatt de siste 10 000 år, etter siste istid. Dette er fakta.
For ca 600 – 700 millioner år siden inneholdt atmosfæren ca 20 ganger dagens nivå av CO2 (7500 p.p.m.). På denne tid var det ISTID på jorden.1000m til 3000m tykk is lå ned til Hamburg og New York.( Linder 2009)
For ca 550 millioner år siden var CO2 nivået ca 5000ppm og vi hadde tropisk klima her i Norge.
(Engene og Tullberg 2007)
I bronse alderen var temperaturen her i Norge ca 2,5 grader høyere enn i dag, og det vokste furuskog på Hardangervidda. På den tiden var det ikke mange som kjørte Cadillac, he he .
År 850-1300 oppsto igjen en midlertidig varme periode og vikingene bosatte seg på Grønnland.
De dyrket korn i en periode. År 1400-1500 ble det igjen kalt.
Den siste million år har vi hatt 8 istider med 8 varme perioder innimellom. En istid varer ca 80-100 tusen år og varme periodene varer ca 10-15 tusen år. Det er nå ca 12 000 år siden siste istid, så i løpet av noen tusen år er nok en ny istid på vei.
De store istidene styres av jordaksens vinkel. Den varierer mellom 22,1 og 24,5 grader. Vinkelen er nå 23,5 grader. En syklus tar ca 41 000 år.
Det har vært snakket mye om Is smelting og stigende hav nivå. Hva er fakta? Isen på Sør polen “vokser”. Gjennomsnitts-temperaturen har sunket fra – 49,5 til -50,5 grader de siste 50 år. Teltet til Roald Amundsen ligger nå 11m under overflaten. Isen på Grønland “vokser”. Et fly som nødlandet i 1942 på Grønnlands isen ble gravet ut på 90 tallet, det lå da 82 meter under isoverflaten. Isen hadde lagt på seg ca 1,6m pr år.
Når isbreer “vokser” kalver de mye. Når isbreer smelter trekker isbreen seg innover på land, og kalving opphører. Når is oppnår en tykkelse på 2-3 km blir trykket så stort at isen opptrer plastisk, og is trykkes ut på sidene, langs vannkanten, derfor kalver isbreene og store isfjell flyter ut på havet. Is kan aldri bli særlig tykkere enn 3 km, da er trykket så stort at is tyter ut langs kanten av isbreen. De store isbreene på jorden tilføres så mye nedbør at de er i balanse, noe de har vært i 100 000 vis av år, med visse tidsbegrensede variasjoner. Temperaturen varierer mellom -20 og -50 grader C. Is smelter når temperaturen er over 0 grader, grunnskolen hadde dette i pensum den gang skolen fortsatt var bra. “Skrekk filmene” som klima-mafiaen har sendt på Tv de siste år, med kalvende isfjell fra Grønland og Sydpolen, som sannhets bevis på at isen smelter, er feil. Disse “skrekk-filmer” bekrefter bare at de er uvitende og mangler kunnskap. En hver med en smule tankegang bør forstå dynamikken i en isbre. Propaganda filmer som vi har fått se de siste år har samme metodikk og oppbygning som filmer benyttet på 1930 tallet, av en ikke ukjent krabat. Filmene ønsker å bygge på frykt hos uvitende seere som ikke får alle fakta på bordet.
Isen på Nordpolen vokser og minker på grunn av Stillehavs strømmen PDO (Pasific Decadal Oscillation). Denne hav strøm veksler ca hvert 35-40 år. Den strømmer opp langs vestkysten av Alaska, og fører varmt vann inn i Nordpol bassenget. Denne havstrøm snudde vinteren 2007-2008. Derfor har det de siste år blitt kaldere på den nordlige halvkule. Det vil nå bli mer is og et kaldere klima på Nordkalotten frem til ca 2040, da havstrømmen PDO igjen snur. Dette er årsaken til at vi hadde kalde vintre på 40, 50 og 60 tallet på den nordlige halvkule. Da Amundsen ville seile nordvest passasjen var det mye is. Hadde han ventet til 1932 kunne han ha seilet nærmest isfritt i de samme områder. Et eksempel fra Holmestrand, på 40 og 50 tallet var det flere år mulig å gå på sikker is til Langøya. I vinter, i 2011, ville det igjen ha vært mulig hvis det ikke hadde vært for skips-trafikken. Et annet eksempel fra USA:Vinteren 2011, frøs grønnsaker på friland i midt-vesten, til langt ned i Mexico, og grønnsak prisene ble 3 doblet. Sist dette skjedde var i 1952.
FN s klimapanel påstår at et høyere CO2 nivå vil gi en høyere temperatur på kloden. Øker CO2 nivået til 550 p.p.m. så er det snart ingen vei tilbake- vi vil havne i en oppadgående temperatur spiral. Hvordan kan dette skje? CO2 har svært liten effekt som klimagass. Vanndamp utgjør ca 97 % (+-1 %) av klimagass effekten som gjør det levelig på jorden. De andre gasser i atmosfæren har en ubetydelig effekt.
Hvordan kom vi da hit vi er i dag? Vi hadde et mye høyere CO2 nivå i tidligere tider. Hvis høye nivåer av CO2 gir høye temperaturer, så ville vi vel ikke ha eksistert? Jorden hadde istider da CO2 nivået var 20 ganger høyere enn i dag. I bronsealderen var CO2 nivået omtrent som i dag, og temperaturen var ca 2,5 grader høyere. Dette kan kun forklares ved varierende aktivitet på solen.
De små variasjoner i temperatur(mellom de store istider) styres av solens aktivitet. Høy solaktivitet gir mye elektromagnetisk stråling. Elektromagnetisk stråling fra solen blokkerer for kosmisk stråling fra verdensrommet. Mindre kosmisk stråling fra verdensrommet fører til dannelse av mindre aerosoler i atmosfæren. Mindre aerosoler i atmosfæren fører til dannelse av mindre skyer. Så høy sol aktivitet fører altså til at det dannes mindre skyer i atmosfæren, og vi får høyere temperatur her på jorden. Det motsatte skjer ved lav aktivitet på solen.
Temperaturen kan også påvirkes av uvanlige hendelser som store vulkan utbrudd og nedslag fra verdensrommet, men dette er sjelden. Det er foretatt beregninger som viser at hvis India og Pakistan skulle havne i atomkrig, og de brukte hele sitt arsenal av atomvåpen, vil det påvirke klimaet i flere år. Store mengder støv vil bli fraktet opp i de høyere lag av atmosfæren, dette vil føre til mindre innstråling, lavere fotosyntese, lavere temperatur. Dette vil gi lavere matproduksjon, med det resultat at opp til 1 milliard mennesker kan dø av sult.
CO2 innholdet i vann og luft fordeles i forholdet 50 -1 ved 25 grader og normal trykk.( Henrys lov). Kaldere vann tar opp mer CO2, varmere vann slipper ut CO2.( sett en Cola i solen, den blir fort daff)
Havet inneholder altså 98 % av CO2 ved 25 grader, luften 2 %. De siste 100 år har sol aktiviteten ført til en temperatur økning i havet på 0,6 grader. Dette har ført til at havet har sluppet ut mer CO2 og vi har fått et stigende innhold av CO2 i luften. Når sol aktiviteten igjen fører til lavere temperatur vil havet ta opp mer CO2 og CO2 nivået i luften vil igjen synke.
Det er temperaturen som styrer CO2 nivået, og ikke CO2 nivået som styrer temperaturen. Og temperaturen er styrt av solens aktivitet.
Havet (spiser) og bunnfeller CO2 uavbrutt og havets bufferevne er nærmest uendelig.
I Jordklodens naturlige kretsløp finnes det i dag ca 299 000 giga tonn CO2. Denne CO2 mengden fordeler seg som følger. I atmosfæren ca 3000 giga tonn. I havet ca 150 000 giga tonn. Som karbonat på havbunnen ca 146 000 giga tonn. Fordelingen av CO2 mellom hav og luft er 50-1 ved 25 grader C. (Henrys lov). Videre, CO2 mengden i havet fordeler seg mellom oppløst i vannet og avsetninger som karbonat på havbunnen i forhold ca 1-1,( massefordelingsloven).
Mennesker slipper ut ca 32 giga tonn CO2 pr år, omtrent 0,01 % av total mengde i kretsløpet.
Hvis vi slipper ut dagens CO2 mengde i 100 år blir det ca 3200 giga tonn. I naturen vil det bli fordelt som følger:
Cirka. 1. % i Atmosfæren.
Cirka. 50. % i Havet.
Cirka. 49. % Som karbonat på havbunnen.
Overstående fordeling skjer med det CO2 som naturen ikke lagrer som hydrokarboner. Hvor mye CO2 som lagres som hydrokarboner pr år i naturen har jeg ikke tall på. Men ser en bort fra dette, vil 100 år med dagens CO2 utslipp føre til en økning av CO2 i luften på ca 1 % eller 4 ppm. Dette er totalt ubetydelig i alle sammenhenger.
Det tar noe tid for CO2 å blande seg i havet, og derfra til å bindes som karbonat. Derfor er CO2 nivået i luften på grunn av våre utslipp ca 20-25 p.p.m. høyere enn “naturlig” nivå. Hvis alle CO2 utslipp stanset i dag ville nivået stabilisere seg ca 20-25 p.p.m. under dagens nivå etter noe tid. Forutsatt at temperaturen i havet er konstant. ( Solaktiviteten bestemmer temperaturen). Ca 4 % av den til enhver tid CO2 mengde i luften stammer fra menneskers aktivitet. Dette måles via isotop målinger av C12 og C13. Ca 96 % stammer fra naturens CO2 omsetning.
Med utgangspunkt i kjente fakta, som viser at vi med dagens utslippsmengde på ca 32 giga tonn CO2 pr år i verden, vil føre til en økning av CO2 nivået på ca 1 % eller 4 p.p.m. etter 100 år. På grunn av naturens fortløpende lagring av hydrokarboner vil det riktige nivå være noe lavere. Hva er man redd for?
Jeg har her sett helt bort fra CO2 bundet i biomasse på land. Det er anslått at all biomasse på land(dvs skoger etc) inneholder ca 2800 giga tonn CO2. Men på grunn av FN politikk de siste 40 år har vi liten mulighet til å gjøre noe med dette. Når man først vaksinerer og forer opp stadig flere mennesker kan man ikke nekte dem mat. En sulten mann kan ikke leve av trær, derfor rydder han skogen og dyrker mat. Dagens FN politikk i Afrika vil føre til at Afrikas skoger er borte for en stor del om 50-70 år.
Hvordan kan det ha seg, at en gal konklusjon, nemlig at menneskers forbruk av hydrokarboner vil føre til global oppvarming, er blitt en “offisiell sannhet”? Dagens forbruk av hydrokarboner vil øke CO2 nivået i luften med 4 p.p.m. etter 100 år. DETTE ER HELT UTEN BETYDNING.
HVORDAN har CO2 og global oppvarming kunne bli et av moderne tids største politiske tema? Hva er agendaen og dynamikken bak denne utvikling- og hvem står bak?
Rundt 1980 var vel mesteparten av kampen for arbeidernes rettigheter vunnet. Når en kan få 100 % lønn uten å arbeide, ja da er det ikke så mye mer å hente på den fronten. Da kom miljøkampen opp som en stadig viktigere sak i det politiske miljø. Så dukket CO2 opp, og her var det plutselig mulig å vekke til live frykten for katastrofe. Dette ga ny glød i mange valgkamper.
Det finnes et stort byråkrati og politisk miljø som gjennom FN ønsker å styre og kontrollere verden. Særlig her i det super byråkratiske Europa. Avgifter på CO2 er drømmen for disse byråkrater. Ved å få folk til å tro at CO2 er farlig for verden, gjorde man en” god gjerning” samtidig som byråkratene ville få tilgang til en utømmelig finansierings kilde. Dette ville gjort det mulig å” byråkratisere” i mange ti- år. Den største trussel mot det moderne velferdssamfunn er skrivebords folk og byråkrater. De produserer ingen verdier, tvert imot, de senker verdiskapningen mens de spiser av lasset.
Videre, mange i verdens industriland har sett muligheter til å tjene penger på frykten for katastrofe. Den letteste måten å bli rik på er jo å få bevilgninger fra politikere som ønsker å vinne valg. De betaler gjerne dobbel pris for hva som helst som kan gi dem seier.
Til slutt, forskere som har snakket sannheten om CO2 fra 90 tallet har ikke fått bevilgninger. De som har hjulpet Solheim & co å vinne valg har fått millioner.
1 giga tonn = 1 milliard tonn. = 1 000 000 000 000 KG
Karbondioksid – CO2 er ikke giftig eller skadelig for miljøet. Den er livets gass, som inngår i fotosyntesen og all plante vekst på jorden. Restproduktet fra fotosyntesen er oksygen som igjen er nødvendig for de fleste levende organismer på jorden. Store økninger av CO2 i luften har nærmest ingen virkning på global oppvarming, men derimot stor virkning på økt plantevekst.
Dagens nivå på ca 390ppm CO2 gjør det mulig å produsere mat til verdens befolkning. Nivået på ca 280 p.p.m. som vi hadde for 200 år siden ville gitt oss 10-20 % lavere avlinger i jord- bruket.CO2 vil bli et verdifullt råstoff for produksjon av for, drivstoff og byggematerialer i løpet av noen tiår. Hvis noen skulle lykkes med å lagre store mengder CO2 i undergrunnen (til store kostnader), vil det bli sett på som en forbrytelse om noen år.
Når sannheten om CO2 bløffen blir forstått og akseptert i det politiske miljøet forventer jeg at alle CO2 relaterte avgifter i det norske samfunn fjernes omgående.
www.EtBedreNorge.no Mai 2010. Per Øivind Næss
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