FNs Klimapanel tolker sol- og klimadata feil. Ole Humlum, professor emeritus UiO, og Jan-Erik Solheim, professor emeritus UiT.

 

https://www.klimarealistene.com/2021/08/21/fns-klimapanel-tolker-sol-og-klimadata-feil/

FNs Klimapanel tolker sol- og klimadata feil

Forfattet av Ole Humlum, professor emeritus UiO, og Jan-Erik Solheim, professor emeritus UiT.

Et panel av forskere fra hele verden har publisert en rapport som viser at vi vet for lite om årsakene til klimaendringer til å gi drivhusgassene skylden. Vår forskning gir et resultat som ikke stemmer med konklusjoner fra FNs klimapanel (IPCC) som bygger på ufullstendige data og manglende forståelse av solas utstråling.

Rapportens tittel er «How much has the Sun influenced Northern Hemisphere temperature trends? An ongoing debate». Den er fagfellevurdert og publisert i «Research in Astronomy and Astrophysics», Vol 21, No.6, 131 (68pp).
Forskergruppen består av R. Connolly, W. Soon, M. Connolly, S. Baliunas, J. Berglund, C. J. Butler, R. G. Cionco, A. G. Elias, V. M. Fedorov, H. Harde, G. W. Henry, D. V. Hoyt, O. Humlum, D. R. Legates, S. Luning, N. Scafetta, J.-E. Solheim, L. Szarka, H. van Loon, V. M. Velasco Herrera, R. C. Willson, H. Yan and W. Zhang.

Det meste av den energien som finnes i jordas atmosfære kommer fra Sola. Det har lenge vært kjent at endringer i «total solutstråling» (TSI), eller den mengde energi mottatt fra Sola i løpet av de siste hundreårene, kan ha bidratt vesentlig til de seneste tiders klimaendringer. Men i de nyeste rapporter fra FN-klimapanel brukes kun forskingsrapporter som viser små solvariasjoner. Som følge av dette har Klimapanelet konkludert med at Sola ikke har hatt noen virkning på klimaet de siste 100-150 år.

Vår vitenskapelige oversiktsartikkel som nylig er publisert viser at konklusjonene til FNs klimapanel om at klimaendringene skyldes menneskelig virksomhet er svakt vitenskapelig begrunnet. Rapporten som er forfattet av 23 eksperter på solvariasjoner og klima fra 14 forskjellige land, er publisert i det fagfellevurderte tidsskriftet, «Research in Astronomy and Astrophysics» (RAA).

Forskerne sammenligner i alt 16 forskjellige estimater av strålingsvariasjoner fra sola, inklusive data som brukes av IPCC. Disse sammenlignes med 26 forskjellige estimater av temperaturvariasjoner på jordas nordlige halvkule siden 1850 (sortert i fem kategorier), inklusive datasett brukt av IPCC. Grunnen til at rapporten fokuserer på nordlige halvkule er at her finnes lengere og fyldigere dataserier enn for den sørlige halvkule. Men vi antar at våre resultater er globalt gyldige.

Vår undersøkelse viser at forskere kommer til motsatte konklusjoner om årsaken til de observerte klimavariasjoner, avhengig av hvilke datasett som brukes. I figurene ovenfor viser grafene på venstre side hvordan hele temperaturutviklingen kan forklares ved menneskelig aktivitet (CO2 utslipp) hvis temperaturserier som inkluderer temperaturer målt i byer og tettsteder (flyplasser) brukes sammen med serier som viser beskjedne variasjoner i solutstråling. De menneskeskapte bidragene er da 0,84°C per hundre år og de naturlige bidrag fra sol og vulkaner omtrent null. Grafene på høyre side viser at mesteparten av temperaturøkningen skyldes sol og vulkaner dersom vi bruker temperaturdata utenfor byer og tettsteder og soldata med variasjoner.

I den 6. rapporten fra FNs-klimapanel (2021/2022) brukes dataserier som vist til venstre med målestasjoner fra byer og tettsteder i hele verden, og lite eller ingen solvariasjoner. FNs klimarapport unnlater å fortelle om forskning som viser at temperatur utenom byer og tettsteder stiger langsommere og at mange forskere har funnet at sola varier langt mer enn de måleseriene klimapanelet bruker, samtidig som de hevder at det er konsensus blant forskerne om at deres tolkning er rett.

Når klimapanelet ikke er i stand til å gi en riktig fremstilling av forskningen på feltet, må panelets konklusjoner avvises som premature. Mer forsking er nødvendig for å oppklare årsaken til de forskjellige tolkingene og finne en begrunnelse for at den ene tolkningen er riktigere enn den andre.

Vår konklusjon er at klimapanelets konklusjoner om menneskers påvirking av jordas klima ikke representerer akseptabel forskning

Uttalelser fra deltagende forskere

Dr. Ronan Connolly, ved «Center for Environmental Research and Earth Sciences» (CERES), uttaler som hovedforfatter for studien:
«The IPCC is mandated to find a consensus on the causes of climate change. I understand the political usefulness of having a consensus view in that it makes things easier for politicians. However, science doesn’t work by consensus. In fact, science thrives best when scientists are allowed to disagree with each other and to investigate the various reasons for disagreement. I fear that by effectively only considering the datasets and studies that support their chosen narrative, the IPCC have seriously hampered scientific progress into genuinely understanding the causes of recent and future climate change. I am particularly disturbed by their inability to satisfactorily explain the rural temperature trends».

Nicola Scafetta, Professor of Oceanography and Atmospheric Physics at the University of Naples Federico II (Italy):

«The possible contribution of the sun to the 20th-century global warming greatly depends on the specific solar and climatic records that are adopted for the analysis. The issue is crucial because the current claim of the IPCC that the sun has had a negligible effect on the post-industrial climate warming is only based on global circulation model predictions that are compared against climatic records, which are likely affected by non-climatic warming biases (such as those related to the urbanization), and that are produced using solar forcing functions, which are obtained with total solar irradiance records that present the smallest secular variability (while ignoring the solar studies pointing to a much larger solar variability that show also a different modulation that better correlates with the climatic ones). The consequence of such an approach is that the natural component of climate change is minimized, while the anthropogenic one is maximized. Both solar and climate scientists will find the RAA study useful and timely, as it highlights and addresses this very issue.»

Richard C. Willson, Principal Investigator in charge of NASA’s ACRIM series of Sun-monitoring Total Solar Irradiance satellite experiments (U.S.A.):
«Contrary to the findings of the IPCC, scientific observations in recent decades have demonstrated that there is no ‘climate change crisis’. The concept that’s devolved into the failed CO2 anthropogenic global warming (CAGW) hypothesis is based on the flawed predictions of imprecise 1980’s vintage global circulation models that have failed to match observational data both since and prior to their fabrication.

The Earth’s climate is determined primarily by the radiation it receives from the Sun. The amount of solar radiation the Earth receives has natural variabilities caused by both variations in the intrinsic amount of radiation emitted by the Sun and by variations in the Earth-Sun geometry caused by planetary rotational and orbital variations. Together these natural variations cause the Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) at the Earth to vary cyclically on a number of known periodicities that are synchronized with known past climate changes

Willie Soon, at the Center for Environmental Research and Earth Sciences (CERES), who also has been researching sun/climate relationships at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics (U.S.A.) since 1991:

«We know that the Sun is the primary source of energy for the Earth’s atmosphere. So, it always was an obvious potential contributor to recent climate change. My own research over the last 31 years into the behavior of stars that are similar to our Sun, shows that solar variability is the norm, not the exception. For this reason, the Sun’s role in recent climate change should never have been as systematically undermined as it was by the IPCC’s reports. Hopefully, this systematic review of the many unresolved and ongoing challenges and complexities of Sun/climate relationships can help the scientific community return to a more comprehensive and realistic approach to understanding climate change.»

27 thoughts on “FNs Klimapanel tolker sol- og klimadata feil. Ole Humlum, professor emeritus UiO, og Jan-Erik Solheim, professor emeritus UiT.

  1. We are a group of volunteers and starting a new scheme in our community. Your web site provided us with useful info to work on. You’ve done an impressive job and our whole group shall be thankful to you.

  2. hello there and thank you in your info ? I?ve definitely picked up anything new from right here. I did on the other hand expertise a few technical issues the usage of this site, since I skilled to reload the website many times previous to I may just get it to load correctly. I had been thinking about in case your web host is OK? Now not that I am complaining, but slow loading circumstances instances will sometimes impact your placement in google and can harm your high-quality score if ads and ***********|advertising|advertising|advertising and *********** with Adwords. Well I?m adding this RSS to my email and can glance out for a lot extra of your respective intriguing content. Make sure you replace this once more soon..

  3. Have you ever thought about creating an ebook or guest authoring on other sites? I have a blog based upon on the same information you discuss and would really like to have you share some stories/information. I know my viewers would appreciate your work. If you are even remotely interested, feel free to shoot me an e-mail.

  4. Thanks for the several tips provided on this weblog. I have realized that many insurance agencies offer prospects generous deals if they prefer to insure a few cars with them. A significant amount of households currently have several vehicles these days, specially those with mature teenage kids still residing at home, and also the savings on policies could soon mount up. So it pays off to look for a bargain.

  5. This website online can be a walk-by way of for the entire data you wished about this and didn?t know who to ask. Glimpse here, and you?ll undoubtedly uncover it.

  6. you’re really a good webmaster. The site loading speed is amazing. It seems that you are doing any unique trick. In addition, The contents are masterpiece. you have done a wonderful job on this topic!

  7. Thanks for the tips shared in your blog. Yet another thing I would like to state is that weight-loss is not information about going on a dietary fad and trying to reduce as much weight as you can in a few days. The most effective way to lose weight is by taking it gradually and obeying some basic tips which can enable you to make the most from a attempt to slim down. You may learn and already be following many of these tips, but reinforcing know-how never does any damage.

  8. Thanks on your marvelous posting! I genuinely enjoyed reading it, you may be a great author.I will remember to bookmark your blog and will often come back later on. I want to encourage one to continue your great writing, have a nice holiday weekend!

  9. I can’t express how much I admire the effort the author has put into producing this remarkable piece of content. The clarity of the writing, the depth of analysis, and the wealth of information provided are simply astonishing. Her zeal for the subject is apparent, and it has undoubtedly struck a chord with me. Thank you, author, for offering your knowledge and enriching our lives with this extraordinary article!

  10. After I initially commented I clicked the -Notify me when new feedback are added- checkbox and now each time a remark is added I get 4 emails with the identical comment. Is there any way you’ll be able to take away me from that service? Thanks!

  11. What i don’t realize is actually how you are not really much more neatly-appreciated than you may be right now. You are so intelligent. You understand thus considerably when it comes to this topic, produced me individually believe it from a lot of various angles. Its like women and men don’t seem to be fascinated until it?s one thing to accomplish with Woman gaga! Your individual stuffs great. At all times handle it up!

  12. One thing I’ve noticed is always that there are plenty of common myths regarding the finance institutions intentions while talking about property foreclosures. One myth in particular is the bank wishes to have your house. Your banker wants your money, not the house. They want the money they loaned you having interest. Keeping away from the bank will undoubtedly draw a foreclosed realization. Thanks for your posting.

  13. My programmer is trying to convince me to move to .net from PHP. I have always disliked the idea because of the costs. But he’s tryiong none the less. I’ve been using Movable-type on a variety of websites for about a year and am worried about switching to another platform. I have heard fantastic things about blogengine.net. Is there a way I can import all my wordpress content into it? Any kind of help would be really appreciated!

  14. Hmm it looks like your blog ate my first comment (it was super long) so I guess I’ll just sum it up what I wrote and say, I’m thoroughly enjoying your blog. I too am an aspiring blog blogger but I’m still new to the whole thing. Do you have any recommendations for rookie blog writers? I’d definitely appreciate it.

  15. We are a gaggle of volunteers and opening a new scheme in our community. Your web site offered us with helpful information to paintings on. You’ve performed a formidable job and our entire neighborhood will be grateful to you.

  16. A person essentially help to make seriously articles I would state. This is the very first time I frequented your web page and thus far? I amazed with the research you made to make this particular publish amazing. Excellent job!

  17. I’m really enjoying the design and layout of your site. It’s a very easy on the eyes which makes it much more pleasant for me to come here and visit more often. Did you hire out a designer to create your theme? Fantastic work!

  18. Great beat ! I wish to apprentice even as you amend your website, how can i subscribe for a blog website? The account aided me a acceptable deal. I had been a little bit familiar of this your broadcast provided brilliant clear idea

  19. You actually make it seem so easy with your presentation but I find this topic to be actually something which I think I would never understand. It seems too complicated and extremely broad for me. I’m looking forward for your next post, I?ll try to get the hang of it!

  20. Hello, you used to write excellent, but the last several posts have been kinda boring? I miss your tremendous writings. Past several posts are just a bit out of track! come on!

  21. Hey there! I just wanted to ask if you ever have any trouble with hackers? My last blog (wordpress) was hacked and I ended up losing several weeks of hard work due to no back up. Do you have any methods to prevent hackers?

  22. Thanks for your article. One other thing is that individual states in the United states of america have their own personal laws of which affect property owners, which makes it very difficult for the the legislature to come up with a new set of recommendations concerning property foreclosure on people. The problem is that every state offers own laws which may have interaction in a damaging manner in terms of foreclosure plans.

  23. One more thing. I really believe that there are quite a few travel insurance internet sites of dependable companies than enable you to enter your holiday details to get you the prices. You can also purchase the actual international holiday insurance policy on-line by using your own credit card. All you should do is always to enter your current travel information and you can begin to see the plans side-by-side. You only need to find the plan that suits your budget and needs and after that use your bank credit card to buy the item. Travel insurance on the internet is a good way to search for a reliable company pertaining to international travel insurance. Thanks for sharing your ideas.

  24. I have observed that costs for online degree pros tend to be a terrific value. For example a full Bachelor’s Degree in Communication in the University of Phoenix Online consists of Sixty credits from $515/credit or $30,900. Also American Intercontinental University Online gives a Bachelors of Business Administration with a whole study course element of 180 units and a tariff of $30,560. Online learning has made having your degree so much easier because you might earn your own degree in the comfort of your abode and when you finish working. Thanks for all tips I have really learned from your website.

  25. I am extremely impressed with your writing skills as well as with the layout on your weblog. Is this a paid theme or did you customize it yourself? Either way keep up the nice quality writing, it?s rare to see a great blog like this one these days..

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *